Didn't change yesterday, but holiday weekends usually under-sample Republicans. By the end of next week, we'll have a very clear picture of where the race really stands.
I'm expecting McCain to be right in the thick of it. If he can ever get a working lead, he will be awfully tough to overcome.
President: Polls were hard to come by this weekend. Other than the tracking polls from Rasmussen and Gallup, only a poll from CNN was released. The announcement of Sarah Palin as John McCain's running mate seems to be muting only slightly a pretty good bounce for Barack Obama coming off his acceptance speech on Thursday night. Immediately after the speech, Gallup showed him forging ahead to an eight-point lead, and Rasmussen had him 4 points up. By yesterday, the margins had fallen to six and three points, respectively. However, with the GOP convention (and hurricane Gustav) bearing down on us, we could see another toss-up situation by the end of the week.
Great analysis. I agree.
I believe that McCain will surge soon. I only hope that
it’s not too soon, mid-October would be better timing.