Reminds me of an old Flash Gordon movie I saw on an American Airlines flight many years ago. He’d been captured by Ming the Merciless and put to work stoking radium furnaces on a planet that required the furnaces to stay in orbit. He and the other slaves stoked the furnaces by scooping the radium up in coal shovels and shoving it into the fireboxes, just like coal. The movie was made well before most people knew anything about nuclear reactors.
I see this image and caption several times each year and am frustrated every time, because the remainder of the article must be fascinating, but always missing.
Does the RAND Corporation still exist?
Does anyone have access to the complete article?
There is a wealth of information there, as illustrated by the bold letters I have highlighted to illustrate the traps inherent in discussing the future.
The hard sciences can be exact. Some predictions are assumed from experience to be invariant (Tides, sunrise and sunset, eclipses, weather, etc.), some cannot be (Meteor strikes, volcanic eruptions, climate change).
When discusions ensue, a somewhat firm grasp of both science and the language must participate to make rational conclusions of the practical application of information that is available. Unfortunately, scientists themselves often fail this test, as illustrated by the caption of this famous photograph. The obvious lapse is the indiscriminate mixing of the affirmative and the speculative.
The main point being that conditional language is always "... used principally in a main clause accompanied by an implicit or explicit doubt or "if-clause"; may refer to conditional statements in present or future time."
This is either omitted from Climate change discussions, or overlooked by the readers, particularly national leaders and policy-makers. It is certainly exploited by the doomsayers, the Gores and Hansens of our society.
And it has huge, long-lasting, unexpected and profound consequences.
Science, just isn't what it used to be. The line between science and politics has been temporarily erased, to our unfortunate detriment.
That instrument panel in the bckground is a reactor control station for a nuclear submarine. The left panel is the steam-plant with the large forward throttle wheel and smaller reverse throttle wheel. The central panel is the ractor control panel and the right hand panel is the electric plant control panel.