[NautiNurse]

The pressure drop, and increase in wind speed are consistent with a low Category 2 storm.

[dirtboy]

And it is looking more and more organized and powerful with each new sat photo. South Padre is gonna take a pretty good pounding from this storm - it is fat in the dirty sector.

[steveegg]

Serious westward (specifically west-southwest) movement this time around...

000
URNT12 KNHC 231320
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL042008
A. 23/13:17:40Z
B. 25 deg 53 min N
  096 deg 47 min W
C. 700 mb 2785 m
D. 70 kt
E. 175 deg 10 nm
F. 265 deg 071 kt
G. 174 deg 009 nm
H. 965 mb
I. 10 C/ 3048 m
J. 17 C/ 3048 m
K. 9 C/ NA
L. C20
M. CLOSED
N. 12345/7
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF302 1904A DOLLY        OB 22
MAX FL WIND 86 KT NE QUAD 10:31:20 Z
MAX FL WIND OUTBOUND 83 KT N QUAD 13:23:00 Z
SMALL BREAKS IN EYEWALL S SIDE
;

I suspect the previous fix was a bit north of where it should have been.