IOW the official report is still nothing more than a WAG. I think we all here have done that well.
The NHC couldn’t find the center. Either they screwed up or the center is reforming.
It doesn’t matter because whatever interaction the storm has with the Yucatan tonight will be resolved tomorrow.
It’s a big dang storm and only a fool would suggest that it won’t become a hurricane, and probably by tomorrow. We’ll take it from there.
NHC does not radically shift from forecast to forecast.. they are slowly ramping things up even if the storm has yet to fully get its act together.