Sometimes I think between actual flights inside the storm they sometime extrapolate the storms position when it’s this far out.
We’ll get the update any minute. I expected this to possibly become a tropical storm by this evening, and it was one about 9 am Houston time although the NHC didn’t confirm that until about noon.
The northern Mexico/Brownsville track is going to shift north. Of that, I’m sure.
I don’t know whether this will mess with Houston or not, but I’m sure not ruling it out.