so much for the 2008 Atlantic hurricane season
If you give a fudge factor a technical name, is it still a fudge factor?
If you don’t understand the primary influence on a system, do you really understand the system?
Aaaah yes, the obligatory CYA.
I find it telling that the last time the pacific was in its “cool phase” corresponded almost exactly to the time when scientists worldwide were warning of a new ice age, and winters were especially strong. Then, all through the 80s and into the 90s, temps warmed, just in time for scientists worldwide to yammer about a coming “global warming” heatwave.
Now we’ve just had a particularly strong winter, which still lingers in the north, and the pacific is cooling again. Global temps have stayed static or even declined over the past several years.
From 2001....We wonder why the Arctic Sea ice waxes and wanes? Must be global warming>? Nah, more likely the shifting currents of the Pacific Ocean. But you say, the sea ice is at record low. Nah, has pretty much returned to ‘normal’ extent. But, but, it was lowest on record last summer, it will be totally gone in 20-30 years. Nah, the ‘records’ only go back to 1978, when the first sat to take daily pictures of Arcitc was sent up. Today, April 22, 2008, we have much more sea ice in Arctic than April 22, 2007.
Like fall and winter of 2000, this year’s (2001) TOPEX/Poseidon satellite data shows that the Pacific Ocean continues to be dominated by the strong Pacific Decadal Oscillation, which is larger than the El Niño/La Niña pattern. The data, taken during a ten-day collection cycle ending Oct. 29, 2001, show that the near-equatorial ocean has been very quiet in the past year, and sea levels and sea surface temperatures are near normal. Above-normal sea surface heights and warmer ocean temperatures, indicated by the red and white areas, still blanket the far western tropical Pacific and much of the north mid-Pacific.
Who’s Nina Linger?
I thought this was a pretty cool and informative article at first.
But this killed it for me:
>>Sea level rise and global warming due to increases in greenhouse gases can be strongly affected by large natural climate phenomenon such as the Pacific Decadal Oscillation and the El Nino-Southern Oscillation. “In fact,” said Willis, “these natural climate phenomena can sometimes hide global warming caused by human activities. Or they can have the opposite effect of accentuating it.”<<
It exposed the agenda.
Actually, up to that paragraph it IS a pretty informative article. Like so many articles by Global Warming and TOE True Believers, it is not the facts in the articles with which I have a problem. It is with the conclusions they make. Whenever I see the word “may” in an article, I always internally add the words “or may not”.