Replies

Well Hitlery came in third, so she is badly injured, and the commie Edwards, who can’t win anywhere other than Iowa, is likely done. So it will be crippled Hitlery fighting young prince Obama till the convention.

I figure the top 4 from Iowa, plus Giulani, all have good chances to pick up delegates, ending up with a brokered convention.

Verry Intterrrestting!!

a brokered convention.

That will be interesting! I haven't had enough emotional energy to invest in the primaries much. But I did pay sufficient attention to last nites' looniness to come to a similar conclusion.

See, I think that at least one of the conventions will be broken, not brokered.

I suspect that the Democrats will most likely have to deal with such a broken convention --- where, due to the internal imbalances in the Democrat Party, they will probably have more of a chance of tearing that party apart.

Here's my scenario: in the wake of her third place finish today, Hillary! manages to say or do something that alienates the black vote even more than Shaheen's stupid-stupid-stupid drug dealer crack did last month. If she doesn't do well in New Hampshire, and if her South Carolina black vote either stays home or votes for Obama, she's hosed, and Obama will collect the largest number of delegates.

But what happens if, after wrapping up the delegates, something horrible comes out about Obama this summer, before the convention? Something so bad that he can't recover from it?

Will the delegates pledged to Obama vote for Hillary!? Or will they demand some other candidate ---- Silky Pony? Kuchinich-rhymes-with-spinach? The left wing of the Democrat Party is so robust, it may go its own way ... not too tired to fly, as in the election of 1968, but flying on its own, as in the election of 1948, with a Chicken Foot Party dedicated to socialism and no foreign entanglements. "Universal health care and all soldiers home in 90 days!"

Contemplate it: Hillary! is the brand-new, original candidate, just handed her party's nomination. She has her own "unelected" issues to deal with, a far-left-wing third party, led by Kuchinich, is saying all the things the whack-jobs want to hear. That party will force her to run more left than she would prefer, and, perhaps, more left than the American people would prefer.

Meanwhile, the Republicans have a calmer convention and --- probably --- no credible third party sprout to contend with (I don't credit Ron Paul.) Even if the Republican nomination process breaks, the split shouldn't tear the party apart.

I tell you, it's mega-popcorn time!