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Locked on 08/19/2007 5:43:08 AM PDT by Lead Moderator, reason:
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Posted on 08/16/2007 4:43:17 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane warnings have been issued for Dominica and St. Lucia as Hurricane Dean races westward into the Caribbean Sea at 24mph. This motion should bring the center of Dean near the Lesser Antilles on Friday. The increased forward speed of the storm has lessened preparation time for Caribbean Islands in its path. Hurricane Dean has favorable conditions to develop into a major hurricane over the next several days.
Public Advisories Updated every three hours.
Tropical Storm Discussion Updated every six hours
Storm Track Archive Nice animated progression of 5 day forecast tracks
Buoy Data East Caribbean
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Storm Surge graphic
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Additional Resources:
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Hurricane City
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
one of the kennedys wrote an article opining that the bible belt had been hit hard and that NO had been spared because it was such a progressive place, it was published a couple of hours before the poop hit the fan in NO if I remember correctly
And we've got plenty of time to get there.
Dunno why we don't have eyewall diameters from this group of Hunters.
Yes, there's lots of population below Brownsville. A landfall prediction in Mexico: between Playa del Carmen and Puerto Morelos.
Saw a post earlier today from a Jamaican that said about all they could do is pray.
Ours would not/could not hurt either.
Amen to that.
Here's the main page and here's where you want to end up.
Caution, the 2nd link is BIG.
The eye looks like a ball bouncing along LAT 16,,,(Rock)
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Just maybe he’s shifted enough to not hit Jamaica head on.
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I think that was the red track,,,
mite go south of that one...
won’t miss by much...
It’s amazing how much a nice tall cold glass of ice water will cool you down. I always hated sleeping during a heat wave when I was a kid in St. Louis. People have ways of cooling down. In the tropics they shower three times a day or more, if they can.
As for the size, at 5 Mbit/s download, I don't much care about size ;-)
thread marker
A little help is better than none. ;)
I knew you could handle it, but there are a couple of people here that can’t handle those. :)
We had those attic fans that pulled air & moisture throughout the house. Most nights we were cold before morning.
Reports from Jamaicans getting hunkered down:
http://stormcarib.com/reports/current/jamaica.shtml
Two more Jamaican links I posted earlier - radar & radio:
http://www.metservice.gov.jm/radarpage.asp
http://go-jamaica.com/power/
I got a sick feeling in the pit of my stomach reading the stormcarib reports from Jamaica. Godspeed, Jamaicans.
A little help is better than none. ;)
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All we can get...;0)
730
URNT12 KNHC 190235
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL042007
A. 19/02:09:00Z
B. 16 deg 10 min N
071 deg 30 min W
C. 700 mb 2384 m
D. 93 kt
E. 219 deg 010 nm
F. 305 deg 092 kt
G. 220 deg 012 nm
H. 918 mb
I. 8 C/ 3050 m
J. 16 C/ 3049 m
K. 15 C/ NA
L. CLOSED
M. C25
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF302 0704A DEAN OB 18
REMNANTS OF INNER EYWALL E040/10/8
MAX FL WIND OUTBOUND 130KT NE QUAD 02:14:00
That’s what I *tried* to do when my A/C was out 3 times last week, but my skin got so dry and itchy I couldn’t stand *that,* either.
By the last time, when it got to 91° in my apt, I didn’t have the strength to lift myself off the sofa.
I have breathing problems anyway, and felt like I was suffocating. Apt’s don’t consider it an emergency to be without A/C! Most people have cars and can leave, I don’t and I couldn’t. We were in the midst of a Heat Advisory, I couldn’t even go outside - it was 110° Heat Index.
000 URNT12 KNHC 190235 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL042007 A. 19/02:09:00Z B. 16 deg 10 min N 071 deg 30 min W C. 700 mb 2384 m D. 93 kt E. 219 deg 010 nm F. 305 deg 092 kt G. 220 deg 012 nm H. 918 mb I. 8 C/ 3050 m J. 16 C/ 3049 m K. 15 C/ NA L. CLOSED M. C25 N. 12345/ 7 O. 0.02 / 1 nm P. AF302 0704A DEAN OB 18 REMNANTS OF INNER EYWALL E040/10/8 MAX FL WIND OUTBOUND 130KT NE QUAD 02:14:00 Z
Other major observations -
- Motion over the last 1:04 to the west-northwest (290 degrees) at 18.8 mph.
- Flight-level winds now at 130 knots.
- Pressure unchanged at 918 mb.
I knew I took too long ;-)
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