Incidentally, in light of this news:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1863703/posts?page=32#32
The “John McCain wins GOP nomination” contract is now trading at 3.9 while the “John McCain Drop Out in 2007” contract is up to 36.9.
I wish I knew a way to fund that Intrade account I set up years ago. Plenty of profit left in the "drop out" category.