This is quite an outbreak. I think the SPC is being too conservative for tomorrow. I would bring the Moderate and High Risk into the the MI/OH/PA/NY area for tomorrow. They say there is a lack of weak low level wind fields. I have no idea what they are seeing that I dont see.
They’ve been saying that Skywarn activation may be needed for Friday for two days now. That’s always a sign to me that they’re pretty sure and we’re in for it.