The Jets are a well coached team, the Bills are an inept franchise and the Dolphins are starting over with a new coach and system.
Pats have 2 1st rounders and a second to play with on draft day. I like their chances the next two years.
The Bills as a franchise are inept. The Bills as a football team are not to be discounted. They're the AFC East version of the Titans, IMO.
The Dolphins are only "starting over" on offense. Capers is still running the defense, and still running Saban's hybrid system. Jason Taylor will continue to introduce himself forcefully to Tom Brady, and Zach Thomas will continue to forcefully introduce himself to Lawrence Maroney. There's a rumor that Corey Dillon is going to retire, which is why I'm leaving him out.
I'm not discounting the Patriots, especially with the draft picks Belichick has stockpiled this year, I'm simply saying you no longer have the luxury of overlooking your division.