[fnord]

It comes down, for each player, to who they want to be in the final 3 with. Earl/Yau are a solid bloc, so they need to convince one person to come with them to the final 3 vote. I could see Yau and Earl making conspiracy with any or all 3 of the others, promising them a free ride to the final 3.

Dreamz in particular could be swayed. They could promise (and mean it) that if they get to the final 4, even if he has to give up immunity to Yau, they would all vote out the 4th remaining player. He might think he has a good chance at the final vote alongside Yau and Earl (he hasn’t struck me as particularly bright).

Also, I think they want to get rid of Cassandra (for treason) now, along with Boo (for challenges). Although they would be fine taking either to the vote, they need to get rid of one so poor Dreamz has only one option.

If Earl or Yau wins the first immunity, it will be all over. If not, a lot of permutations come into play.

I hope Earl wins, although Yau would be good also. Both played the game brilliantly. Should be fun viewing :-)

[cuz_it_aint_their_money]

Greetings Ladies and Gentlemen!
It’s time for:
Your FINAL Survivor Ping!

The Final Five:: Boo, Cassandra, Dre, Earl and Yau-Man

The Jury: Rocky, Lisi, Michelle, Edgardo, Mookie, Alex, Stacy

The Losers: Jessica, Erica, Sylvia, Gary, Liliana, Rita, Anthony

Well, I’ve debated with myself and decided to go ahead and “hide” my final picks, just in case there are still folks out there that don’t want the final show to be spoiled. So the rest of you know what to do. Start highlighting at the - - > below:

- - > The official SeeBS website clues are so lame I won’t even insult your intelligence by posting them here. Instead lets just get into it!

The first Immunity Challenge tonight is a race through a maze type obstacle course. Only this time the players are completely blindfolded. Should prove to be rather comical. I really wish Boo would win this Challenge, because he is starting to grow on me. However, I’m afraid that Yau-Man will win and as a result Boo will become the next member of the Jury. Sending Cassandra, Dre, Earl and Yau-Man to the final four.

Now, the promos of the final episode very quickly show a glimpse of Cassandra at Tribal Council. A vid cap of this shot clearly shows a person seated to her right, wearing an orange or rust colored shirt. The only players left with this color of shirt is Earl. So Earl is seated to Cassandra’s right. To her left we see a very dark colored (read black) bare shoulder with the spikes of the Immunity Necklace. Since Dre is the only other African-American, we know that Dre is seated to Cassandra’s left, and that he has the ugly necklace. This leads us to the “Most Controversial Decision” ever made in the History of Survivor. At least that is what Jeff Probst has been claiming ever since the finale of last season’s show. Dre has “promised” Yau-Man that if they both make it to the final four and if Dre win the Immunity, he would give the Ugly Necklace to Yau-Man in exchange for the Truck last episode. Dre has said that he would keep his promise, however I think he will renege on this promise resulting in Yau-Man being booted and becoming the final member of the Jury.

So we are now down to our final three: Earl, Cassandra and Dreamz.

Here is how I think the final Jury’s vote will come down:

First of all, let me say that there is absolutely no way Dreamz deserves even one single vote. He stabbed every member of the Jury in the back at one time or another during the course of the game, usually resulting in them getting booted from the game. So – Dreamz doesn’t get a single vote from the Jury. In fact the only thing he will get is their contempt and a good chewing out at the final Tribal Council.

Yau-Man: There is no way that Earl will not get Yau’s vote.
Boo: This one is a little tougher. He has had almost no interaction with any of the three, but even so, I think he will see Earl as the ultimate winner. Earl gets Boo’s vote.
Stacy: This one is really tough. I don’t think that Stacy likes Earl too much, but she dislikes Dreamz even more. She will probably go with Cassandra just to make sure Earl doesn’t make a clean sweep of it.
Alex: Alex, Mookie and Edgardo all recognizes Earl’s game play and rewards him with their votes. Also, they dislike Dreamz for the backstabbing way he played the game.
Mookie: Ditto for Mookie.
Edgardo: Ditto for Edgardo.
Michelle: Had an alliance with Earl so he get her vote also.
Lisi: Disliked and even showed contempt for both Cassandra and Dreamz during the notorious “French Press” Coffee incident. Had almost no dealings with Earl, so Earl gets Lisi’s vote.
Rocky: Of all the members of the Jury, Rocky would be the most likely to vote for Dreamz. However, I think even Rocky will see the excellent gamesmanship that Earl displayed during the entire course of the game and will cast his vote for Earl.

Well, there you have it: Earl wins the game with 8 of the 9 Jury votes. Cassandra gets 1 vote and Dreamz gets a new truck and the contempt of everyone.

Now I would like to take this opportunity to thank you for allowing me to come into your computers each week to espouse my opinions. I hope I’ve made your Survivor viewing experience just a little more enjoyable in the process. Take care, and I’ll be pinging some of you to the new Pirate Master thread, sometime next week.

Take Care,

Notable Survivor Quotes
“The Tribe Has Spoken!”
Jeff Probst, Survivor Host.