LOL...don't be silly...SILLY. The "Academy" will never give him another award...period. The shunning of The Passion of The Christ was the biggest slap in film history.
This will be no different.
I'm not talking about the academy, I'm talking about the critics.
Not having seen The Passion, I can't speak to its artistic merits. But nothing I read in the film criticism suggests that it was "overlooked" or "shunned", only that there were many more deserving films.
The Academy Awards are not a popularity contest. Each award is supposed to recognize the recipient in that particular craft -- lighting, sound, acting -- for pushing the craft forward. I seriously doubt The Passion missed out on anything, and besides, I hope that wasn't Gibson's goal. He is a fine filmmaker and has proved himself time and time again. He doesn't need a statuette to impress me.