For UF to have a shot, we are going to have to beat F$U by at least 20, and beat Arkansas pretty convincingly. The fact that Wake was able to go into Bobby Bowden Stadium and win 30-0 is going to put a lot of pressure on UF to win just as big there.
The most I see Michigan falling is to 4 in the polls, but you're right, Florida needs style points against "Saint" Bobby, and Arkansas.