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I've heard that theory, but there is one thing that just doesn't wash.

I've been around families when a child got hurt for one reason or another and you know what happens? They run like heck to call 911 no matter what happened because they need help keeping their child alive or want to revive them. It doesn't matter how badly they are hurt, or who did what...the ONLY thought in their mind is to get help for the injured child. They don't just give up. Sometimes, even after that child is on life support and declared brain dead. This is something you agonize over, not coldly try to cover up to protect a child who had an accident.

Parents just don't say to themselves "Oh well, lost cause, might as well concoct a crazy story to cover up the fact my child was accidentally hit with a baseball bat." That is the piece of this story that just doesn't make any sense whatsoever. There would have been LESS suspicion on them if they had just said she was accidentally hit with a bat. Accidents like that happen very often.

Your scenario fits all the publicly known facts, but it discounts one VERY important thing, human and parental nature. That said, it does fit in with a million hollywood-created mysteries, but those are always neatly solved in an hour. Life is much, much sloppier.

I think that's a fair point and probably the weakest part of the theory. It does seem incredible that a parent would think that coldly about a situation so soon after it happened. You may be right, but one thing is clear to me. Due to the putrefaction and rigor, her death almost certainly happened before 11 p.m., probably closer to 10 p.m. There is no way an intruder got in there and wrote that note, packed her suitcase and sneaked her into the basement and then killed her when John and Patsy by their own admission were up until at least 10 p.m.

Anyway, you may be right.