"To make a significant dent in Rendell's historical black base, Swann is going to have to pull 40 to 50 percent of the black vote,"
...what a dumb statement. Swann could win like any Republican wins.
Randell is up 47 to 37, but he is under 50% and Swann is still undefined... ergo, this is a winnable race.
Since when does any GOP candidate need that high of a percentage of the black vote to win? Heck if one just got 20% that would be devastating to a Democrat.