Boy, you musta had Super High-Def TV at your place. Everyone at our place watching on High-Def all agreed that the QBs arm all but obscured the view of the ball, and we ALL also agreed that his elbow was over, but the ball was in his gut, about 6-12 inches BEHIND the elbow.
To be fair, though, the concensus was that whatever they called on the field would ultimately stand, because there seemed no replay angle that was definitive one way or the other.
The replay angle I watched showed the ball going across while held vertically, with about half the width of the ball across the line - but is was close.