[Perdogg]

don't get me wrong I am not Yankees fan.

[JohnnyZ]

I don't care whose fan you are I'm just saying it's opinion, not computation.

I've been modeling the chances of teams ending the season tied, but that's not heavily dependent on predicting who's going to win how many and who's going to lose. I could change the assumptions I use (70-30 and 50-50) and it wouldn't affect the ultimate answer a whole heck of a lot.