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To: GraniteStateConservative; ken5050; MikeinIraq
With the Sox and Yankees tied at 90-64, there is a

49.9% chance

that the teams will enter their final series with a chance to be tied at the end of the season. Remember, one team has to be leading by 1 or 3 games entering the series in order for there to be a chance to tie.

This assumes the Sox and Yankees each have a 70% chance of winning each of their remaining 5 non-H2H games.

Using that same assumption, there is only a

17.1% chance

that the teams will end the season tied.

401 posted on 09/24/2005 8:17:19 PM PDT by JohnnyZ ("I believe abortion should be safe and legal in this country" -- Mitt Romney)
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To: MikeinIraq; ken5050
The chance of the Indians and ChiSox tying, using the 70/30 criteria again, is 12.2%.

The odds of all four teams finishing the season with the same record is a little better than 1 in 1000.

402 posted on 09/24/2005 8:44:22 PM PDT by JohnnyZ ("I believe abortion should be safe and legal in this country" -- Mitt Romney)
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To: JohnnyZ

We have won 67.6% of our home games. The Yanks have won 51.4% of their road games. If we are still tied after tomorrow. It's expected, based on this history, that the Sox will win 1 more game than the Yanks after 7 games. That's what I predict will happen: we win the division by 1 game.


405 posted on 09/24/2005 9:11:45 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative (...He had committed no crime against America so I did not bring him here...-- Worst.President.Ever.)
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