AND
Playing well on the road is a lot of luck and because the parks are all different, isn't a good indicator of true performance levels
You really can't have both sides of this. On one hand you say teams play better at home because their GM's "pick players that play well on the home field", on the other hand you denigrate a team with a good road record, calling it luck.
Didn't they beat teams that are supposed to WIN AT HOME because their GMs "pick players that play well on the home field"?
So any team with more road wins than home wins at the end of the season is a 'bad team'?
I was saying that history points to a quick ending of the Indians getting their wins on the road instead of at home and on the road. Good teams play well at home and win what games they can on the road-- that's how the records look at season's end and that's how the Indians' record will look.
They won't be able to keep playing .500 ball at home and win the WC. I promise you. And, that's all I was saying. It's just like Giambi hitting like 16 homers in July. He's not going to hit 16/month. That was a blip and the law of averages will slow him down. Same with the Tribe. The only reason they are in the race is because of fluke wins on the road to boost them over the league average. Teams can have great road records, sure, but they always have great home records, too (when you look at season's end).
I'm saying it's likely that their road record will fall to get more in line with their .500 record at home. However, this is all based on their not figuring out how to win home games. If they can do that, they will probably continue to pick up wins on the road, too.
I'm not saying they are a bad team. Just a lucky one. They can start playing better at home and really compete against the Yanks and the As.
But, it's odd that the Indians GM hasn't brought in players with great splits in that park. Theo Epstein has filled the roster with guys who thrive in Fenway, for example. Same with Billy Beane in Oakland.
And, I -am- rooting for the Tribe to get their act together.