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The Winds of Political Change… And Why You Almost Never Feel Them Coming
American Heritage ^ | February/March 2005 | Kevin Baker

Posted on 03/06/2005 9:52:13 PM PST by SunkenCiv

"This was the greatest vote, the greatest margin and the greatest percentage (61 percent) that any President had ever drawn from the American people; we shall live long before we see its like again," the inventor of the modern campaign chronicle, Theodore H. White, wrote after Lyndon Johnson's lopsided triumph over Barry Goldwater in 1964. In fact we would see its like again twice in the next 20 years, and from the Republican side, as Richard Nixon and Ronald Reagan swamped their opponents in 1972 and 1984, respectively... Those gripped by either despair or euphoria over the 2004 election might want to reflect on how quickly, and unforeseeably, political fortunes have changed in the past. As to just what the next catalytic shock will be, and how it will affect the 2008 election, I would be happy to make my own predictions. Just come see me 20 or 30 years from now.

(Excerpt) Read more at ...

TOPICS: History; Society
KEYWORDS: 1928; 1972election; 1984election; 2008; demographics; demography; demographyisdestiny; election1972; election1984
a bit of a barf alert, but mostly what one would expect from this slightly backsliding magazine.

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1 posted on 03/06/2005 9:52:14 PM PST by SunkenCiv
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To: kattracks; Berosus; blam; Ernest_at_the_Beach; FairOpinion; ValerieUSA

Reich: Clinton Killed the Democratic Party
Published: 3/13/01 Author: Carl Limbacher and Staff
Posted on 03/13/2001 07:15:12 PST by kattracks

Democratic Debacle (1964 convention, repercussions today)
American Heritage | July 2004 (cover date) | Joshua Zeitz
Posted on 07/27/2004 9:59:49 PM PDT by SunkenCiv

GOP Plants Flag on New Voting Frontier
LA Times | Mon Nov 22 2004, 7:55 AM ET
Ronald Brownstein and Richard Rainey,
with contributions by Kathleen Hennessey
Posted on 11/23/2004 11:52:29 AM PST by SunkenCiv

The Republican Party's Diminishing Strength in New York
Gotham Gazette (dot com) | June 7, 2004 | Gerald Benjamin
Posted on 09/09/2004 11:19:54 AM PDT by SunkenCiv

2 posted on 03/06/2005 9:56:37 PM PST by SunkenCiv (last updated my FreeRepublic profile on Sunday, February 20, 2005.)
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To: dervish; Convert from ECUSA; Do not dub me shapka broham; TexKat; Seadog Bytes

a bump, with a change of URL:

The Winds of Political Change
…And Why You Almost Never Feel Them Coming
By Kevin Baker
February/March 2005 Volume 56, Issue 1

3 posted on 11/25/2005 9:29:30 PM PST by SunkenCiv (Down with Dhimmicrats! I last updated my FR profile on Wednesday, November 2, 2005.)
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GOP Has Lock on South, and Democrats Can’t Find Key
Yahoo News | Dec 15 | Ronald Brownstein
Posted on 12/22/2004 1:11:13 PM EST by metalmanx2j

4 posted on 07/25/2007 11:15:53 AM PDT by SunkenCiv (Profile updated Monday, July 23, 2007
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