The most important question in the L.A. Mayoral race: Who can beat Villaraigosa?

self ^ | 3/6/05 | self

[lonewacko_dot_com]

If there is indeed currently a three-way race for mayor of Los Angeles, there will be a run-off. Assuming Parks and Alarcon are out of the running, and making the somewhat dubious assumption that Walter Moore is in the running, here are the six possibilities:

Villaraigosa - Hertzberg: Villaraigosa might lose
Villaraigosa - Hahn: Villaraigosa might lose
Villaraigosa - Moore: Villaraigosa would probably win

Hertzberg - Hahn: Hertzberg would probably win
Hertzberg - Moore: Hertzberg would probably win

Hahn - Moore: Hahn would probably win

If Parks withdraws and throws his support to Villaraigosa, that would create a major problem.

If Alarcon takes votes away from Villaraigosa, that would be a good thing.

Summary: if you vote for Moore, and by a miracle he makes the run-off, you better hope that he doesn't face Villaraigosa in the run-off.

While Moore is a good candidate, I strongly suggest that you vote for Hahn despite all his faults. If you don't feel comfortable with Hahn, then choose Hertzberg.

[ambrose]

Hertzberg would probably lose the runoff because he won't carry the black vote, while Hahn can.

[television is just wrong]

One of the latino candidates, I think villagrosa, is running a lot of ads that make no sense whatsoever. Says something about suing someone. Other weird comments too. I don't want a mayor in Los Angeles whose answer for everything is to sue.

[StoneColdGOP]

I'm with Hertzberg too, albeit reluctantly.

Not living in the City of L.A., I can't vote for him though.

[lonewacko_dot_com]

I think you're referring to Alarcon.