Posted on 11/04/2004 9:43:38 PM PST by PatriotCheck
I would agree with your thoughts...but geography is only one factor. To appeal to the family values types, we will need to get a candidate that is happily married (I don't think Sanford is married and there are speculations that he is gay or is that Lindsay Graham). That isn't important to me, but it sunk Mark Foley's Senate run in FL this last year.
Frist did not demonstrate real leadership as Majority Leader the first two years, but things have changed a bit. I am concerned that he could be heavily attacked as a wealthy doctor who owns several health care facilities. The Democrats can play really dirty. George Allen is going to have a tough reelection campaign with Gov. Mark Warner and he is a Senator. Very few Presidents moved from the Senate to the White House. Yes, Allen was a Governor first so it can play into that. Hagel is a maverick Republican and the RNC will think that he is a lot like McCain, unpredictable, uncontrollable and destroy his candidacy. I like Hagel and thought he would have been a great candidate back in 2000, until I saw what Rove and the RNC did to McCain. Not a fun campaign at all as I really supported McCain in the primaries and was constantly called a RINO. Ehlrich is going to have a tough reelection fight. He won because he was running against KKT and a turncoat Republican. Steele pulled enough African-American and swing voters to pull him across the finish line. Will it happen twice? I don't know...I hope so and then yes, he would be a quality candidate. Much like Romney in MA. Won because his opponent was challenged...or like Rossi in WA, if he wins, won because because of the negatives surrounding her campaign. I have heard both positive and negatives regarding Gov. Pawlenty. I am concerned that a lot of Americans would be scared by his name. Petty yes, but we are talking about a crowd of people that think Jerry Springer is wonderful and WWF wrestling is not staged. The election is still very far away. I am watching the cabinet appointments carefully as they may be an indication of an heir apparent. It is too bad that Bush had not switched VPs so that there would be an heir apparent, but I don't think he would have won without Cheney. They make a very balanced team.
Did you bother reading about what happened to the Republican Pary in CO in the 2004 elections? They lost a US Senate seat and control of both houses of the state legislature. That doesn't help Owens get the Republican nomination for President.
Owens is not the best choice.
1) I've heard it through the grapevine that his "separation" has culminated in Owens developing some Clintonian personal problems.
2) Owens is part of the social conservative crowd that likes to talk about "values" a lot. That's all good and well if you practice what you preach. But Owens may not.
3) As far as personal charisma goes, Owens has none. He's not the "next Reagan," as some have said. He's sort of a dorky, wonkish guy. It's not a fair criticism I know, but in this age of television, the guy who looks and talks like Kennedy always seems to beat the guy who looks and talks like Nixon. Why should we chance it?
4) Finally, Owens was supposed to be doing to CO what the Bush Bros. did to TX and FL --- turning it into a solid GOP state. Owens failed miserably. After 6 yrs in power, 2004 was a horrible yr for the CO GOP. We lost an open US Senate seat, a US House seat, and BOTH houses of the legislature. Moreover, GWB just barely won the state by 5 pts, meaning it's now a "swing state" and Democrats will be pouring money into Denver in 2008. It looks like Owens may have given the state back to the Democrats, not exactly the heir to Bush when it comes to building a Republican majority.
I've heard a lot of references to marital problems/potential sex scandal involving Bill Owens. Can someone please tell me the full story or refer me to a source?
So far, he's my favorite contender for the '08 nomination. If there are any skeletons in his closet, I'd like to know earlier rather than later.
Not after the disastrous performance of Repulblican candidates in Colorado this year.
Sorry to end your discussion this way but...I know Governor Owens and talked to him recently about his interest in the 08 campaign. He is not pursuing it in any way, shape or form, despite the voluminous calls for him to do so. He is content to finish out his term as governor and move into the private sector. He already has 20 years + in state government here. He's tired. Make no mistake however, from my perspective he would be an outstanding candidate for office. Too bad.
Owens can win in 2008. The reasons given here why Owens cannot win the Presidency are hollow, slanderous and not based on fact.
First of all, he is popular in Colorado. His approval ratings have been consistently equal or higher to those of prior Colorado governors. As ColoradoMatt should know (assuming he lives in Colorado), until Owens swept into power in Colorado, it was a state run by liberals and Democrats for many years. There is still a substantial liberal base in Boulder and Denver, and Colorado has never been a place that has offered smooth sailing for any Republican. As far as the 2004 elections, the Republican losses had far more to do with individual situations than Owens' popularity. People don't vote for a Republican US Senator just because they like the governor. Owens had no control over the situation. Ken Salazar was a well-respected statewide politician who had a perfect advantage in being able to tap into Colorado's large hispanic population. Pete Coors was a novice beer executive with a lot of money who had never held any political office. This was not a good matchup. As for the state legislatures, they had been historically controlled by Dems and both houses only enjoyed a narrow majority when taken under GOP control when Owens came into office. A switch of a few seats is all it took to turn it over, and tying these seat losses to Owens in any way is really stretching things. Based on historical data considered in the context of Colorado politics, Owens has far exceeded all expectations.
I agree that he lacks some of Reagan's rancher allure and charisma, but he makes up for it with intelligence. Reagan was a figurehead who believed in broad principles, but had to rely on smart aides to actually make them work. He was fortunate to have been surrounded by great people. Owens, on the other hand, is intelligent enough to appreciate the finer points of policy in his own right. I loved Reagan, but I demand more from a presidential candidate than looking good on a horse. And besides, who said comparing to Reagan is essential. Reagan's charisma is the gold standard. There is no way that Frist, Romney or any of the other touted candidates match up to Reagan either.
Finally, all this empty, unsupported criticism about Owens' family values is nothing but rumors and garbage. He is separated from his wife while they attempt to work to save their marraige. They are still friendly with one another, spend holidays together, and travel together to make joint appearances at public events. There is NO EVIDENCE to support this idiotic speculation about his having an affair. It is a reckless rumor, and is pure slander. I challenege anyone to come forward with any actual fact supporting these rumors. Colorado liberals who hate Owens would like nothing better than to bring him down, and if he did have a child or an affair, this would have been public already. Why can't people accept it for what it is - a conscientious couple with very demanding, public lives who are trying everything before giving up on their marraige. Explain to me why that is such a bad thing, or why that undermines "family values?" Plenty of conservative politicians have had divorces and have managed fine.
As to Owens' family itself, his son (who is a star athelete with excellent grades) was part of a group of teenage boys that vandalized some property. He was not the ringleader, but is guilty by association and for being an accessory. Like all kids, he did something stupid, and because his dad is famous, it was reported to the public and he paid dearly for his actions. Taking one teenage mistake coloring this kid's entire character is just flat wrong. By most accounts, he is a great kid who, aside from one isolated incident, has stayed out of trouble is doing very well in college. He is not the deadbeat you portray. As to his daughter, she also has done very well in school and has not been in any trouble. If she had a few drinks at a public event when she was over 21, so what? We all have. There is no evidence that Owens or his family lack good values, and I would hope you'd consider the facts before outwardly slandering someone.
Owens is considered a good presidential candidate because he is young, has executive experience, is smart, and champions the core values of the Republican party. He is no Reagan, but he no geek either. He looks as good as any of the other contenders in a suit, and is fairly well spoken. He is known well among all the major players in politics, both among his fellow governors and among Beltway types. His big challenge would be to make himself known to voters who are not political junkies who may not have heard of him. I think he can do it - the question is if he wants to do it or not. Very few people knew who a young, repeat term governor named Bill Clinton was before 1991 either.
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