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To: CloudyI

Statistically, I am not convinced the MOE are that accurate. There are way to many assumptions and imperfect sampling that drives the MOE higher than what they quote. Polls are impefect and relying too much on them is an error.


9 posted on 10/30/2004 8:57:03 AM PDT by Always Right
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To: Always Right
Spot on. These idiotic snap polls featuring 548 or 702 or some similar number of ''likely voters'' are a statistical waste of time, considering the broad sampling population of millions (in the case of states, say, Ohio) or > 100 million nationwide.

Any statewide sample size < 0.001% of the available population has its MOE understated by assumption, said assumption being that the elements of the sample are normally distributed relative to the entire population. What rubbish.

23 posted on 10/30/2004 9:12:53 AM PDT by SAJ (Buy 2 March NG 15.00 calls, write 5 March NG 18.50calls against, for 5-10 cent credit.)
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