Why on earth should the market reflect the polls? The market should > polls.
Sorry about the formatting above.
Symbol Bid Ask Last Low High Average
DEM04_G52 0.163 0.165 0.165 0.140 0.165 0.157
DEM04_L52 0.304 0.312 0.311 0.295 0.322 0.306
REP04_L52 0.323 0.324 0.324 0.300 0.330 0.326
REP04_G52 0.209 0.218 0.219 0.194 0.250 0.208
With just a few days to go, the odds in the winner take all contract would either approach 100 - 0 percent, or hover around 50 percent. It looks like we're in the hovering around 50 percent category.
Bush is surging in TradeSport.com this morning 13-15pnt gap last I checked.
CSI007
Since Oct 19, 2004
Just shows how "powerful" polls are. A poll on the polls on msnbc.com has the majority of pollsters saying that we'll be surprised at how poorly the polls reflect the outcome of the election (paraphrase).