Bush will take WI and NM, period. He is well organized on the ground in both states.
I pray you are right. Plus if one other surprise comes our way (maybe NJ or MN) then Mr Bush will be in the 280 range.
Losing OH and NH but winning NM and WI will be a little too close for comfort for me. If Bush ends up with only 273 I fear there will be pressure on electors to change their votes, esp. if Kerry takes the popular vote. Plus there is still a change CO could vote to split their 9 votes.