DISCUSSION
...LISA BECOMES EIGHTH HURRICANE OF 2004 SEASON...
LISA continued to strengthen during the day, despite moving over some colder water, and has reached minimal hurricane status. Convection has wrapped center, and analysis from the NHC shows the cyclone has the required winds.
LISA will not likely to retain this status, and will likely only be a hurricane for this forecast package.
LISA will start becoming extratropical tomorrow night, and on Sunday will merge with the remnants of JEANNE.
WATCHES/WARNINGS
[None at this time.]
STORM DATA
Fix Time: 5 PM ET/AT (2100Z)
Location: 38.4N by 45.1W, or 980 miles W of the Azores.
Vector: NE at 22 MPH. An increase in speed is likely over the next 24 hours.
Winds: 75 MPH 1-minute sustained. Some weakening is forecast over the next 24 hours.
Pressure: 987 MB or 29.15"
Diameter of Hurricane Force Winds: 50 miles.
Diameter of Tropical Storm Force Winds: 460 miles.
Anticipated Landfall Time: N/A
Anticipated Landfall Location: N/A
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENTS
[None at this time.]
NEXRAD IMAGERY
[No portion of LISA is within 124 nautical miles of CONUS or Puerto Rico NEXRAD stations.]
SLOSH DATA
[None at this time.]
TOD DATA
[None at this time. TOD data will be calculated if and when hurricane warnings are posted for CONUS and apply only to CONUS territories.]
STATE-ISSUED OFFICIAL EVACUATION INSTRUCTIONS AND OTHER INFORMATION
[There are no such documents for this system at this time.]
INTEREST WATCH AREA
LISA is a threat only to shipping.
57 degrees. It's raining & the wind is blowing. It sounds like it's -30 out there.
Accordingly, I have dug out the long sleeved sweatshirt, flannel pants and HUNTING SOCKS. I got chilled this afternoon in the rain.