The Harris poll was 1000 ADULTS. They could have polled 1000 illegal immigrants. Gallup was LIKELY voters. Big difference. The Dimwit pollsters love polling anyone who might be against Bush.
None of them. You look at them all and weigh them according to their credibility and methodology and you come up with a best guess for a snap shot of the voting public.
Let the MSM bemoan all they want. If Bush really has a 14 point lead then he really has a 14 point lead. Doubting it doesn't change it.
Oh, dear. Is the polling industry going to begin to implode before CBS completes its own implosion? I'd love to know what the folks at Gallup think about this.
The most important thing to look at is the Presidents approval rating which has been over 50% even in the Dimwit polls.
One thought is not a good subject for starting a thread. FR would be impossibly cluttered if this was SOP.
Polls are a manufactured substitute for news, the informational equivalent of a "pasteurized process cheese food product". For people with real jobs and businesses, the closest equivalent would be setting up a press and just printing their income. Of course, doing that makes one an object of interest to the US Secret Service.
What's the equivalent of the Secret Service for counterfeit news?
Answer: The Pajamaheddin Brigade!
I second the "neither". I think Bush is ahead by a solid 5 to 7 points and that it may climb slightly between now and 11/2, barring a UFO (unforeseen occurrence).
During the Clinton years, I noticed that many weekends, ABC radio news would run a snippet from Bill Clinton's radio address, but would make no mention of the Republican address in response.
Amazing. The MSM is up for grabs. This is better than game 7 of the World Series. They're eating their own and pretty soon, they'll be gone.
And check the link at the bottom :-)
Not sure what to believe. Some stuff I've read lately suggest that telephone polls have a growing problem -- cell phones. Lots of especially younger people have only cell phones and no land line phone. They aren't included in any polls. Add that to the difficulties that come from varying screens for "likely" voters and it looks like polling is getting more and more risky.
Keep your head down. Keep working as if you are behind with a lap to go.
13 plus 1 = 14 divided by 2 = Average =
PLUS 7 FOR BUSH
sounds good to me.