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ABC News Radio says "Which Poll to Believe?"
ABC News Radio

Posted on 09/17/2004 9:06:35 AM PDT by rightinthemiddle

ABC News Radio just said Gallup "bestowed" a 13-point lead on Bush, but Harris/Pew polls show race is just 1-point.


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KEYWORDS: abcnews; gallup; harris; msmspin; pew
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Just as I predicted an hour ago.
1 posted on 09/17/2004 9:06:36 AM PDT by rightinthemiddle
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To: rightinthemiddle

The Harris poll was 1000 ADULTS. They could have polled 1000 illegal immigrants. Gallup was LIKELY voters. Big difference. The Dimwit pollsters love polling anyone who might be against Bush.


2 posted on 09/17/2004 9:08:53 AM PDT by Merry
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To: rightinthemiddle

None of them. You look at them all and weigh them according to their credibility and methodology and you come up with a best guess for a snap shot of the voting public.


3 posted on 09/17/2004 9:08:54 AM PDT by Always Right
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To: rightinthemiddle

Let the MSM bemoan all they want. If Bush really has a 14 point lead then he really has a 14 point lead. Doubting it doesn't change it.


4 posted on 09/17/2004 9:08:56 AM PDT by Pete
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To: rightinthemiddle

Oh, dear. Is the polling industry going to begin to implode before CBS completes its own implosion? I'd love to know what the folks at Gallup think about this.


5 posted on 09/17/2004 9:09:01 AM PDT by 3AngelaD
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To: rightinthemiddle

The most important thing to look at is the Presidents approval rating which has been over 50% even in the Dimwit polls.


6 posted on 09/17/2004 9:09:53 AM PDT by Merry
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To: rightinthemiddle; Admin Moderator

One thought is not a good subject for starting a thread. FR would be impossibly cluttered if this was SOP.


7 posted on 09/17/2004 9:10:21 AM PDT by elfman2
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To: Merry

That's going to be the mantra...Rush is talking about it right now...says Al Hunt has a piece in WSJ saying "what if the polls are wrong."

Classic.


8 posted on 09/17/2004 9:10:36 AM PDT by rightinthemiddle (it means many things)
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To: elfman2

I understand. However, I was typing form memory and wanted this one out ASAP.

Thanks for posting.


9 posted on 09/17/2004 9:11:48 AM PDT by rightinthemiddle (it means many things)
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To: Merry

Actually, their numbers remain virtually unchanged if you read deeper in to just the RV and LV numbers.


10 posted on 09/17/2004 9:12:31 AM PDT by sharktrager (Nobody deserves our hostility when they are in a time of need.)
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To: elfman2

Thank you. I've seen way too many of these one-thought threads today. Been feeling like the Grinch for turning them in, but it's gotta stop.


11 posted on 09/17/2004 9:12:58 AM PDT by EggsAckley (............."........let them go naked for a while".......scary Terri Kerry............)
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To: rightinthemiddle
How about the one in November?

Polls are a manufactured substitute for news, the informational equivalent of a "pasteurized process cheese food product". For people with real jobs and businesses, the closest equivalent would be setting up a press and just printing their income. Of course, doing that makes one an object of interest to the US Secret Service.

What's the equivalent of the Secret Service for counterfeit news?

Answer: The Pajamaheddin Brigade!

12 posted on 09/17/2004 9:13:58 AM PDT by thulldud (It's bad luck to be superstitious.)
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To: rightinthemiddle

I second the "neither". I think Bush is ahead by a solid 5 to 7 points and that it may climb slightly between now and 11/2, barring a UFO (unforeseen occurrence).


13 posted on 09/17/2004 9:14:15 AM PDT by Zhangliqun (You want the frequency?.... You can't HANDLE the frequency!)
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To: EggsAckley

Gallup is the most reputable poll. Too bad for the the Dems.


14 posted on 09/17/2004 9:14:27 AM PDT by Retief
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To: rightinthemiddle
Gallup bestows, but Harris and Pew merely show? So they're saying Gallup is nicer? ;)
15 posted on 09/17/2004 9:14:42 AM PDT by VadeRetro
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To: rightinthemiddle
ABC News Radio"""

During the Clinton years, I noticed that many weekends, ABC radio news would run a snippet from Bill Clinton's radio address, but would make no mention of the Republican address in response.

16 posted on 09/17/2004 9:14:59 AM PDT by churchillbuff
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To: rightinthemiddle

Amazing. The MSM is up for grabs. This is better than game 7 of the World Series. They're eating their own and pretty soon, they'll be gone.


17 posted on 09/17/2004 9:15:36 AM PDT by Rutles4Ever ("The message of the Cross is foolishness to those who are perishing...")
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To: All

Soros purchased a 10 square block neighborhood in Texas and ask Harris to poll in that area.


18 posted on 09/17/2004 9:15:51 AM PDT by granite (IT IS UP TO US NOW.)
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To: rightinthemiddle
If wishes were unicorns

And check the link at the bottom :-)

19 posted on 09/17/2004 9:18:04 AM PDT by T'wit (Genuine, personally autographed photographs of Genghis Khan for sale. Contact D. Rather at CBS News.)
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To: rightinthemiddle

Not sure what to believe. Some stuff I've read lately suggest that telephone polls have a growing problem -- cell phones. Lots of especially younger people have only cell phones and no land line phone. They aren't included in any polls. Add that to the difficulties that come from varying screens for "likely" voters and it looks like polling is getting more and more risky.

Keep your head down. Keep working as if you are behind with a lap to go.


20 posted on 09/17/2004 9:18:36 AM PDT by nohangups
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