"TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE ADVISORY NUMBER" Southeastern Coast

National Weather Service ^ | 7/31/04 | NOAA

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000 WTNT31 KNHC 312033 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT SAT JUL 31 2004

...FIRST TROPICAL DEPRESSION OF THE 2004 SEASON FORMS OFF THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED...

AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA... INCLUDING THE PAMLICO SOUND. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS.

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE BROAD AND POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 78.6 WEST OR ABOUT 175 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION COULD BRING THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION NEAR THE COAST OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS... MAINLY IN SQUALLS TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON SUNDAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...30.6 N... 78.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT.

FORECASTER BEVEN

[dixie sass]

Ho hum, another day, another rain storm...

It's been tropical afternoon thunderstorms for most of the summer. Guess that it will continue.

[Hillarys Gate Cult]

11:00 AM update.

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SUN AUG 01 2004

...DEPRESSION A LITTLE STRONGER...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED...

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM
CAPE FEAR TO CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO
SOUND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EDISTO BEACH SOUTH
CAROLINA TO CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION ONE WAS RE-LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE
79.2 WEST OR ABOUT 80 MILES...125 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON
SOUTH CAROLINA.

THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION HAS BEEN MEANDERING OVER THE PAST
SEVERAL HOURS. A SLOW NORTHWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY
WITH A TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST TOMORROW. ON THIS TRACK...THE
CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY NEAR THE SOUTH
CAROLINA COASTLINE LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...IN SQUALLS TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. THE
DEPRESSION HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS
1011 MB...29.85 INCHES.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1-2 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE DEPRESSION.

REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...31.9 N... 79.2 W. MOVEMENT
...STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.

It's stopped, usually not a good thing.

[Sandylapper]

Thanks, Swamp Fox! Exactly where is "Edisto" Beach?

[LibertarianLiz]

Thanks to both of you for the info. She called this morning from a plane sitting in Cinncinnati and should be home in about an hour from now.

[Swanks]

Glad she got out' Friggin' pouring at 1:00 pm in Raleigh now.http://www.wral.com/wxmap/886676/detail.html

[SC Swamp Fox]

Edisto Beach is northeast of Hilton Head, halfway between Savannah and Charleston.

[SC Swamp Fox]

FYI...The pictures linked in post 33 and 41 are updated periodically. If you refresh your screen you will see the latest update from the NWS.

[SC Swamp Fox]

For those of you with broadband connections, here is a link to a 30 minute loop of the radar out of Charleston.

[Howlin]

That weather map shows pouring rain at my house; we haven't gotten one drop yet.

[Carolinamom]

92 degrees and sunshine here.

[fjsva]

"I can only imagine what it was like on the Outer Banks."

We have had a family beach house on the beach road in the outer banks since the 60's. Weathered many storms w/ minor damage until Isabel. Took the front porch and part of the roof off...lots of water damage. Houses all around us were fine.

Isabel was a strange cat 1.

[Sandylapper]

Thanks, Fox! That's kinda what I thought but was too lazy to get a map and look it up. LOL

[SC Swamp Fox]

Tropical Storm ALEX

. WTNT31 KNHC 012033
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SUN AUG 01 2004
...ALEX STATIONARY...WATCHES AND WARNINGS EXTENDED...

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED SOUTHWARD AND NOW EXTENDS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO SOUND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 5 PM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR NORTH OF CAPE HATTERAS TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EDISTO BEACH TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA.

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 79.2 WEST OR ABOUT 90 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA.

ALEX HAS BEEN STATIONARY FOR MUCH OF THE DAY...HOWEVER...A SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ALEX WILL BE SLOWLY APPROACHING THE SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA COASTS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONDITIONS FAVOR SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...MAINLY IN SQUALLS TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1-2 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH ALEX.

REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...31.7 N... 79.2 W. MOVEMENT ...STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN

[NautiNurse]

Tropical Storm Alex Advisory Number 6
Statement as of 11:00 PM EDT on August 01, 2004

...Alex remains stationary off the South Carolina coast...

 
a Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect from South Santee River
South Carolina to Cape Hatteras North Carolina...including the
Pamlico Sound.  A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm
conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24
hours.

 
A tropical storm watch remains in effect for north of Cape Hatteras
to Oregon Inlet North Carolina.  A tropical storm watch also
remains in effect from Edisto Beach to South Santee River South
Carolina.

 
At 11 PM EDT...0300z...the center of Tropical Storm Alex was 
located near latitude 31.5 north...longitude  79.2 west or about  
90 miles south-southeast of Charleston South Carolina.

 
Alex remains nearly stationary. However...a slow drift toward the
north or north-northeast is expected by Monday afternoon. On the
forecast track...the center of Alex will be slowly approaching the
south and North Carolina coasts during the next 24 hours.

 
Maximum sustained winds are near  40 mph...with higher gusts.  Some
strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours.

 
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to  60 miles southeast
through southwest of the center.

 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb...29.74 inches.

 
Rainfall accumulations of 1 to 2 inches...with isolated higher
amounts...can be expected in association with Alex.

High surf and rip currents will affect much of the southeastern and
mid-Atlantic U.S. Coastal areas for the next couple of days.

 
Repeating the 11 PM EDT position...31.5 N... 79.2 W.  Movement
...Stationary.  Maximum sustained
winds... 40 mph.  Minimum central pressure...1007 mb.

 
For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your local weather office.

 
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 2 am EDT followed by the next
complete advisory at 5 am EDT.

 
Forecaster Stewart

[Sandylapper]

Thanks, Fox! We're bracing for up to 2" of rain this p.m. in my neck of the woods.

[nwctwx]

Hurricane Alex

Glancing blow to the Outer Banks of NC Likely, some strengthening also likely with falling pressure over the past 6 hours. I would guess this guy will top out somewhere near 100 mph (after passing by NC) before weaking, few people should see major wind affects. Flooding and tornadoes are the greatest risk across NC/Southeast VA.

---

Statement as of 2:00 am EDT on August 03, 2004
Current Advisory

...Alex becomes the first hurricane of the 2004 season...moving
almost parallel to the North Carolina coast...

a Hurricane Warning is in effect from Cape Lookout to Oregon Inlet
North Carolina...including the Pamlico Sound. This means that
hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area during
the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should
be rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect from north of Oregon Inlet to
the North Carolina/Virginia border...including the Albemarle Sound.

A Tropical Storm Warning is also in effect from South Santee River
South Carolina to Cape Lookout North Carolina.
Reports from an Air Force reserve hurricane hunter aircraft and the
National Weather Service Doppler radar at Wilmington North Carolina
indicate that Alex has become a hurricane.

---

Current Satellite Image

Likely Track

Current Morehead City, NC Radar (Note Eye)

Current Windspeed Map

Willmington, NC Animated Loop : (SE NC)
Moorehead City, NC Animated Loop : (Central NC)

Tropical Prediction Center : (Hurricane Info)
Storm Prediction Center : (Tornado Info)

[SC Swamp Fox]

Nice post.

I am really glad I have broadband.