Five day forcast
Posted on 07/31/2004 4:16:21 PM PDT by tmp02
000 WTNT31 KNHC 312033 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT SAT JUL 31 2004
...FIRST TROPICAL DEPRESSION OF THE 2004 SEASON FORMS OFF THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED...
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA... INCLUDING THE PAMLICO SOUND. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS.
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE BROAD AND POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 78.6 WEST OR ABOUT 175 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION COULD BRING THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION NEAR THE COAST OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES ON SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS... MAINLY IN SQUALLS TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON SUNDAY.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...30.6 N... 78.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT.
FORECASTER BEVEN
You might get more than you expect. Last season many folks were without power for over a week after the Hurricane. My younger sister had to paddle a canoe to get to her house near the Potomac River just South of Old Town Alexandria.
"I like dramatic weather,..."
If you had to go thru Isabel last year you may change your mind. I live in the Outer Banks of NC and stayed when Isabel hit. We only had 100 mph winds but it was bordering on horrific.
You're likely to miss this storm in N. Va.: figure it to 'bounce' off the Carolina coast near the Wilmington-to-Hatteras region and then head out to sea sometime Monday or early Tuesday.
Come on down here (Daulphin Island), we'll fix you right up.
This is a direct result of the Clinton Administration's failure to adequately address the threat from tropical storms and hurricanes.
I've lived in the Chesapeake/Virginia Beach area for the past 20 years and I've never experienced a storm like Isabel before. In fact, I didn't prepare for it like I should have because I didn't take it seriously. I can only imagine what it was like on the Outer Banks.
You are correct. The coordinates for the recon do not match the current storm. The NHC website is not accurate.
No, you aren't. I'm in Hampton Roads so we get hit dead-on, but Northern VA gets its share of pounding rain, floods and high wind.
My advice is get a good generator, lots of C and D batteries, a battery run tv and radio, food for at least a week or longer and water equal to 5 gallons a day for 5 days per person for all activities. That one gallon rule is not useful when you have to wash, use it for food prep and clean up too. A good outdoor gas grill helps. And a camp pot for coffee. Baby wipes and sanitary hand wipes are helpful. As are 5 gallon lidded cans lined with garbage bags and filled with kitty litter. Yes, a latrine!
Make sure you have nylon rope, bungee cords, a few tarps, and medications on hand. If you know how to handle one, a chainsaw. If you don't know how to use one, don't. Those injuries are nasty.
It is also a life saver to have a simple carpet sweeper like they used in the 50's to keep the debris off the carpet as people walk in and out. No power for vacuums.
We lost our power for six days last year during Isabel and a week during a hurricane prior to that. Plus, living where I do, power outages are the rule.
On the plus side: Hampton Roads had the Mother of all BBQ's last year. Had to use up the stuff in the freezer and all the neighbors had dinner. On the minus side: 1.5 million people who in the best of times CAN'T DRIVE negotiating Hampton Roads without stoplights.
I know you are in an apartment, so just glean through and use what you can. And btw, keep the door shut.
Hope we get a little rain out of it here in Aiken.
I always get confused...is 1 the big one, or 5?
"I always get confused...is 1 the big one, or 5?"
1 is the small one starting at 70 mph. Isabel was a strong 1. I can't imagine the horror a 5 would bring as hurricane Andrew did to Florida.
Belhaven, across the water's, been flooded six times in the past six years, a generation after Hazel. Taint Global Warming, though.
Anyway, these iddy biddies can be lots of fun, without the sheer terror of Isabel's direct hit here. You can feel the power without the stinging rain and the wunnerful, wunnerful clean-up.
What's the first name for the season, 'cause this'n's gonna get that moniker within a few hours. It'll blossom with sunrise over the Gulf Stream, and get lifted north by the back end of the high ahead of that ridge movin' over the Smokies...
If that front stalls, it could meander, like... was it Earl? It actually side-swiped us twice and then stalled off the coast for almost ten days before it came back on shore again...
We could always use a little rain. </sarcasm off>
I believe every fungi known to man and then some are growing happily around the yard and garden. Snakes are looking for dry shelter. A copperhead was found in the storage room of my husband's office.
Are there any reports of religious types building very large boats in their back yards down your way?
thanks for the info
FReegards...MUD
LOL!
After Hurricane Isabel and all the rain this summer, MoJo is happy to announce that her yard is no longer looking like a DROUGHT ZONE. As a matter of fact, we'll have our very own mother natured induced lake in the backyard. And my kids wanted a pool. What an answered prayer. Hehe!
No one from outerspace, Africa, or the like washing ashore on our waterfront yet. If that occurs, I may not be able to reach you. Hehe!
Well, I guess we'll just surf up to your house. Hope you don't mind. LOL!
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