The following was posted this afternoon on the eom_and_daleel Yahoo group. [...] Recently, Al-Qaeda Intelligences, not just Jihad and Islamic Extremists, are posting about an impending, imminent Nuclear Attack on an American city. Many who usually post, have declared just recently, that they were leaving the boards to complete their mission and will be back to celebrate with the rest. They are asking that Muslims and the like, prepare for a huge celebration in the streets, as a American City is destroyed.
All very interesting but again, this all sounds just too pat. Several problems immediately occur to me:
- Why broadcast that your operation is about to take place? This risks both the individual operatives and the entire operation itself. No professional military or intelligence organization would permit this kind of laxness unless.... it was being done deliberately as a disinformation or propaganda campaign.
- What makes them so sure that they can slip away from any collateral damage? By definition WMD's cause widespread destruction, there's no guarantee that they'd be able to get away in time; and the description sounds like they don't intend to die in the process.
- I suspect that after any WMD attack the country would be so locked down that it'd be virtually impossible to get in or out, or possibly even do much travel within the country. How do they think they'd be able to get to anyplace where they'd be able to "celebrate" afterwards?
- Why should it take that many people to execute a WMD attack? The operatives involved should ideally already be near the targets, otherwise there's too much uncertainty in whether they could get to where they want to set off the attack within the target time frame. Most of these things just shouldn't take that many extra hands, just a few well trained ones. It's not like it's an infantry invasion.
There are other issues that occur to me, but these are the ones that are really obvious (don't want to give away some of the less obvious problems I see).
I suspect this is all disinformation of some sort - one side or the other sowing confusion with their opponents so that they aren't ready for the real blow. The question is, what is it......? Possibly something to happen before or after the supposed target date? Of a different nature? An attempt to draw out some of the terrorists to catch them? Or just sowing fear and doubt in the minds of whoever sees the postings?
I suspect this is all disinformation of some sort - one side or the other sowing confusion with their opponents so that they aren't ready for the real blow. That's what I'm thinking. There's too much info there. I'm also unsure of that guy being affiliated with the government. Just doesn't sound likely he would be sharing that much info on public message boards that should probably be classified. I dunno though. This all get more complicated as time goes on. (Proper typing for easier reading ;)