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AOC Moves Ahead of Gavin Newsom in Early 2028 Prediction Market Odds
The Source ^ | August 7, 2026 | Lenox Washington

Posted on 08/07/2026 5:15:00 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican

Gotta love those prediction markets. The 2028 presidential race is still years away, but the betting action is already starting to tell its own story.

Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has moved slightly ahead of California Gov. Gavin Newsom in one major prediction market, giving the New York congresswoman an 11% implied chance of winning the presidency compared with Newsom at 10%. Their lines crossed in recent days, putting AOC ahead of one of the Democratic Party’s most visible potential contenders.

The movement has already fueled plenty of conversation about where Democratic voters could be headed after another bruising election cycle. For supporters of Ocasio-Cortez, the shift is being read as another sign that democratic socialist politics continue to carry energy with younger and more progressive voters. Newsom’s position has sparked a different conversation around his national appeal and whether years of high-profile clashes with Republicans will ultimately help or hurt him outside California.

There are still obvious hurdles surrounding any possible AOC campaign. She would enter a presidential race as one of its younger candidates, and Democrats would also be confronting recent electoral history after struggling to elect female nominees to the White House.

For now, Republicans hold the stronger hand across the broader prediction market. Vice President JD Vance currently leads the field at 21%.

(Excerpt) Read more at thesource.com ...


TOPICS: Politics
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1 posted on 08/07/2026 5:15:00 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: MinorityRepublican

I bet Alexandra realizes she is not smart enough to be President.


2 posted on 08/07/2026 5:17:03 PM PDT by TTFX
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To: TTFX

JD should send her a check for $1000 and a pager to Mamdani.


3 posted on 08/07/2026 5:18:12 PM PDT by DIRTYSECRET
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To: TTFX

Remember how she stumbled and mumbled at that Munich security conference? She was supposed to be showcasing her foreign policy credentials there.

I’m sure many liberals don’t know about that because MSNOW didn’t cover it.

I think that’s some evidence she’s not smart enough to be President. She’s said a number of bizarre things over the years. Opposition research will dig up some of that.


4 posted on 08/07/2026 5:29:50 PM PDT by Dilbert San Diego
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To: Dilbert San Diego

She’s not smart enough to be a bartender. And I hate insulting bartenders. Her skill level is probably slightly less than Walmart greeter.


5 posted on 08/07/2026 5:38:41 PM PDT by AbolishCSEU (Amount of "child" support paid is inversely proportionate to mother's actual parenting of children)
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To: TTFX

I bet Alexandra realizes she is not smart enough to be President.

********************

That might not matter. The feminists & the democrat beta male types are “all in” on eventually having a “Madam President.”

unclebankster’s messages to the democrats in future elections is very simple.

If you don’t succeed the first two times: please “Try, Try, Again.”


6 posted on 08/07/2026 5:49:14 PM PDT by unclebankster (Globalism is the last refuge of a scoundrel. )
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To: unclebankster

“If you don’t succeed the first two times: please ‘Try, Try, Again.’”

AOC makes ‘She Who Shall Not Be Named’ look presidential!

Think that gin-soaked rummy will pop up again in 2028? I’ll bet she’s in rehab as I type and has had an Iron Lung installed at her house in Chappaqua.

Lord, Help Us All!


7 posted on 08/07/2026 5:57:09 PM PDT by Diana in Wisconsin (I don't have, 'Hobbies.' I'm developing a robust Post-Apocalyptic skill set.)
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To: MinorityRepublican

Idiocracy is not just a Movie....


8 posted on 08/07/2026 6:10:48 PM PDT by Paladin2 (YMMV)
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To: TTFX

“I bet Alexandra realizes she is not smart enough to be President.”

Oh no, she is certainly not smart enough to know that she is not smart enough to be the President


9 posted on 08/07/2026 6:16:03 PM PDT by bosco24
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To: MinorityRepublican

JD has finally admitted the Iranians are “extraordinarily difficult” to negotiate with.

Damn. There may be hope for that boy yet!


10 posted on 08/07/2026 6:18:08 PM PDT by Paul R. (Old Viking saying: "Never be more than 3 steps away from your weapon ... or a Uriah Heep song!" ;-))
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To: MinorityRepublican

Not too long ago, the socialist bartender was using illegal campaign loot to fund her ketamine shrink. One day story.

AOC broke law by spending $19k in campaign cash on ketamine-therapy shrink for ‘personal use’: complaint

https://nypost.com/2026/03/28/us-news/aoc-violated-laws-by-spending-19000-in-campaign-cash-on-ketamine-therapy-shrink-for-personal-use-complaint/


11 posted on 08/07/2026 6:21:05 PM PDT by Libloather (Why do climate change hoax deniers live in mansions on the beach?)
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To: MinorityRepublican

One dummy moves ahead of another dummy. Both are equally dummyfied but which dumb ass m-fing dumb ass dummy will win?


12 posted on 08/07/2026 6:31:46 PM PDT by albie
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To: Diana in Wisconsin

Lord, Help Us All!

*********************

We won’t need help from Our Lord, if the democrats choose a woman as their nominee in 2028.(They won’t.)

“They’ll Lose” Without any Devine Intervention.


13 posted on 08/07/2026 6:38:14 PM PDT by unclebankster (Globalism is the last refuge of a scoundrel. )
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To: MinorityRepublican

Hilarious!


14 posted on 08/07/2026 6:48:31 PM PDT by vpintheak (The left is violence.)
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To: AbolishCSEU
She’s not smart enough to be a bartender. And I hate insulting bartenders. Her skill level is probably slightly less than Walmart greeter.

I worked for and with people with developmental disabilities. Some of them were just great Walmart Greeters. One of them said something that has always stuck with me. He witnessed someone foolish, and said: "I may be retarded, but that guy is stupid."

I believe he would say the same thing about Ocrazio-Cortex.

15 posted on 08/07/2026 7:18:10 PM PDT by Ronaldus Magnus III (Do, or do not, there is no try. )
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To: MinorityRepublican

I can’t wait to hear all the phony accents she invents.


16 posted on 08/07/2026 7:37:42 PM PDT by Organic Panic
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To: MinorityRepublican

The DemoNaziCommie party has sure become a sewer


17 posted on 08/07/2026 7:47:58 PM PDT by faithhopecharity ("Politicians aren't born, they're excreted." Marcus Tullius Cicero (106 to 43 BCE))
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To: MinorityRepublican

AOC has political baggage but Gavin Newsom has political cargo. The only chance either of these clowns have to advance in politics is for the democrat and deep state machine to keep cheating them into office.


18 posted on 08/07/2026 7:58:15 PM PDT by drypowder
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To: MinorityRepublican

AOC should be in the remake of Deep Throat.


19 posted on 08/07/2026 8:10:10 PM PDT by ExTexasRedhead
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To: TTFX

With her ego and all her hangers on and those that simply worship her I doubt it.


20 posted on 08/07/2026 8:21:48 PM PDT by Maine Mariner
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