Posted on 05/27/2026 6:23:51 PM PDT by SmokingJoe
🚨 BREAKING: The Missouri Supreme Court has just UPHELD the state’s new 7R-1D Congressional map, allowing it to go in effect for the 2026 midterms
ANOTHER seat lost by Democrats 🔥
LFG! Keep up the redistricting! We are WINNING!
(Excerpt) Read more at x.com ...
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As well they should have....
I hope the democrats get what they deserve after all these years. Fake/paid protests, anger at every level, and hopefully clean up the media for once and for all with their bile “news”.
You forgot NC
Thanks.
A lot of people don’t realize that every seat gained be redistricting means the Democrats have to gain two seats somewhere else. It is a fixed pie. And as more “safe” seats are created, there are fewer that can be flipped.
Missouri would be +1. They carved out the Democrat from the KC area.
So with NC = 16.
That means, assuming all these districts go Republican, the Democrats would need to find 32 other seats to break even. They’d need 37 seats to take the house.
“...A lot of people don’t realize that every seat gained be redistricting means the Democrats have to gain two seats somewhere else...”
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I must be one of those people.
Also, TN courts threw out the NAACP’s lawsuit against their redistricting.
For simplicity, assume the house has 100 seats split 50/50
If one party picks up 2 seats, then the number isn’t 50/52; it is 48/52, a four-seat edge. If all things were equal, the side with 48 would need to flip two seats from the side with 52 to regain a tie or 3 for a majority.
But in reality, Congressional districts are often not toss-ups or flippable. Many districts are “Safe” for one side or the other. In fact, there are currently about 183 safe Democrat seats and 188 Safe Republican seats (Source: Grok).
The 16 seats in the new maps are carved out of formerly “safe” Democratic, gerrymandered seats. 183 - 16 = 167 is the new floor for the Democrats. 188 + 16 = 204 is the new floor for Republicans.
204-167=37 seat difference. Notice, these are “Safe Republican seats.
The Republicans currently have 217 seats plus one independent, Kevin Riley, to reach 218. If the new districts were applied, the number would be 218 + 16 = 234. (Source: Grok)
204 Republican Seats, plus 167 Democrat seats = 371
435 - 371 = 64. So there will be 64 seats in play this November.
That means to reach the 218 majority, the Democrats will need 51 of the 64 available seats to reach 218
The Republicans, starting at 204 seats, need 14 of 64.
There could be a fairly large gain for the Democrats, and they’d still lose. In fact, they could gain 50 seats without achieving majority status.
For simplicity, assume the house has 100 seats split 50/50...
If 1 seat flips from D to R...
Now it is 49/51.
If 1 other seat flips from R to D,
it is back to 50/50.
Good. Hahaaaaha.
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