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Posted on 05/11/2026 3:09:47 AM PDT by RandFan
Rep. Thomas Massie, R-Ky., heads into the May 19 Republican primary in Kentucky's 4th Congressional District favored over Trump-backed challenger Ed Gallrein in both public polling and prediction markets, even as President Donald Trump and allied super PACs press a costly effort to oust the seven-term incumbent.
Two April surveys put Massie ahead.
A Big Data Poll survey released on April 8, conducted as part of the firm's crowdfunded Public Polling Project and not sponsored by any campaign, showed Massie leading 52.4%-47.6% after undecided voters were asked who they leaned toward.
The poll interviewed 433 likely Republican primary voters on April 3-4 and April 6-7, with an overall margin of error of plus or minus 4.0 percentage points. Subgroup margins are larger.
A Quantus Insights survey of 438 likely Republican primary voters fielded April 6-7 had Massie at 46.8% and Gallrein at 37.7%, with 14% undecided and an overall margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percentage points.
Prediction markets show a wider edge.
Polymarket on Saturday priced Massie at 77 percent to win the GOP nomination, with Gallrein at 23% on roughly $498,000 in volume. Newsweek reported Massie at 72 percent on Kalshi as of its publication.
(Excerpt) Read more at newsmax.com ...
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Lobby's have spent big to try and unseat Massie with also President Trump chipping in.
It looks like he will survive the onslaught...
The next Liz Cheney.
Devious Foreign Dem Paid operative
pushing Paid Polls from the Paulie Cult.
When are you getting Zapped here ZAPPED>
Wrong again. I post on a range of stories etc...
It’s just on the radar (next week). No malice
Those polls are both crap.
So if Massie is such a frontrunner, why offer two very badly cooked polls in evidence?
They dont poll it frequently (House race)
We will see next week
LIAR.
You are a Foreign PAID AGENT .
Who Hates TRUMP
and Loves the Dems .
You fool no one Here .
The party base is Maga. And there are more Maga Republicans than Country Club Republicans. Never believe the polls
https://www.newsweek.com/thomas-massies-chances-of-losing-to-maga-foe-with-under-2-weeks-to-primary-11931174
Teo days ago
Polls point to a close race between Massie and Trump-backed challenger Ed Gallrein in the Kentucky primary.
Three days ago
https://www.notus.org/2026-election/thomas-massie-campaign-danger
Massie — best known for his defiance of President Donald Trump and advocacy for the release of files associated with notorious sex criminal Jeffrey Epstein — is believed to still have a small edge in his race against military veteran Ed Gallrein, they say. But his lead is shrinking under an onslaught of negative ads and steadfast opposition from a bloc of older Republicans who remain fiercely loyal to the president.
“I think Ed could win,” said Rich Hidy, chairman of the Campbell County GOP in the commonwealth’s 4th Congressional District, who is neutral in the race. “It’s going to be the closest race that Thomas has faced.”
You’re back?
Sigh…
If KY will elect a putrid Democrat for governor, they are perfectly capable of electing a RINO.
Massie is a Fraud. His passion is protecting the most disgusting Dems in Congress.
He’s Squad masquerading as a libertarian
The (R)N(C) cheer-leaders, esp. here, are just upset one of the last 90%+ pro-Constitutional hold-outs is calling out their Uniparty grift
I find it quite amusing the “Anyone but a (D)” brigade is attempting to oust...a (R)/(L)
I mean, just look @ the STELLAR picks via ‘leaders’ of the House AND Senate & all their *smashing* (C) bills/govt roll-backs [if you couldn’t tell, that was a YUGE sarcasm]
Let’s see what happens on Election Day before you break out the Champaign.
So if it turns out that he is right, and Massie wins, what does that make you?
It used to be that people around here knew how to disagree without being a-holes about it.
Does Kentucky’s 4th congressional district have a problem with inbreeding?
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