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Posted on 04/20/2026 9:20:10 AM PDT by dennisw
Edited on 04/20/2026 9:45:24 AM PDT by Admin Moderator. [history]
Here are Victor Davis Hanson's own words from the discussion, cleaned up and formatted for clarity (removing timestamps, interviewer prompts, and host commentary):On Iran's regime and internal humiliation:“As I said in this article, it’s one thing to tell the population, ‘Well, you don’t like us, but we restored the Iranian credibility. Everybody’s afraid of us. We’re the terror master.’ And now the people are saying, ‘No, you’re not the terror masters of the Middle East. You’re a paper tiger. You’re buffoons. They’ve wiped you out. We’re going down the toilet with you.
(Excerpt) Read more at youtube.com ...
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WHY IRAN must keep pumping out oil and selling it>>>
That’ll be explosive if they try to do it.They don’t have the storage capacity just to keep pumping oil and add it into Kharg Island or big fuel storage depots or into ships that are idle there. At some point, very quickly, in a matter of days, they’re going to fill all those things up.
But as he points out with oil wells, if you just shut them down, they have to be maintained and they get water seepage and it’s very hard and expensive to reboot them.They’re not going to be able to have any petrochemical or oil income because they’re not diversified with their ports like the Saudis are or the Emirates.
They don’t understand the Gulf. They think it’s going to be forever 20% of the world’s oil leaves and therefore they are critical because you got to go close to their shore...
Iran explains why no one fought back as US forces boarded ship
https://www.foxnews.com/live-news/us-iran-war-hormuz-blockade-pakistan-april-20
“They’re Clowns And Nobody Knows It...”
We know it but they don’t.
—————————-
If a well is getting water “seepage”, that is a casing leak and a Squeeze Job will need to be performed.
A Squeeze Job is isolating the casing bore with packers and pumping cement under force into casing and out where the casing ruptured into the water entry zone.
After the cement is cured, the work over rig drills out the cement inside the casing and trip in the well tubing.
The question hinges on the intelligence: Nobody seems to have a definitive assessment on the status of Iranian armament and delivery components. I keep seeing numbers that go all over the place from parties with too much interest in shaping impressions.
I have seen the same in assessments of our residual stocks. I do understand the need for security and secrecy, but this is a republic built upon self-government for which reliable information becomes essential.
It makes for quite the paradox and the fog of this war is exceptional.
Trump, we block all the ships until Iran’s storage tanks are full, then we blow up the storage tanks.
Trump’s having fun.
Honoring commitments is the basis of meaningful dialogue. Deep historical mistrust in Iran toward U.S. gov conduct remains, while unconstructive & contradictory signals from American officials carry a bitter message; they seek Iran’s surrender. Iranians do not submit to force.
ROFLOL! Especially the first line!
“Trump’s having fun.”
Indeed. +1
Should have put in quotation marks. It’s a quote from the Iranian president.
That level of insanity leaves only one alternative, viz. termination. Us. Or, them. If POTUS Trump kicks this can down the road, there will never be a POTUS who'll do the job.
Think about it. That imbecile Carter created the mess, and every president since then has ignored it. Except Trump.
The IRGC still controls all in-country comms.
Why not use suitable aircraft overflying major cities to drop in loose-leaf form millions of flyers telling the random population what is really going on?
The militants could not stop it; nor could they confiscate the flyers.
Here is a summary of the video prepared by Gemini AI for those who don’t care much about watching the video. Victor Davis Hanson provides a strategic assessment of Iran’s current geopolitical and economic standing, arguing that the nation is facing a near-total collapse.
Economic Devastation and the Oil Blockade
Daily Financial Losses: Hanson highlights that Iran is losing approximately $435 million every single day in potential income from oil and petrochemicals [03:11].
Flipping the Blockade: He explains how Donald Trump has turned Iran’s own blockade strategy against them. While Iran intended to selectively allow “pro-Iranian” ships through the Strait of Hormuz, the U.S. has reversed this to ensure only “anti-Iranian” ships pass, effectively cutting off Iran’s primary exports to partners like China [04:23].
Infrastructure Risks: Iran lacks significant oil storage capacity. If their wells are forced to shut down due to a lack of exports, they risk permanent damage from water seepage, making it extremely difficult and expensive to reboot production in the future [05:25].
Military and Regional Shift
“Paper Tiger” Perception: Hanson argues that Iran has been humiliated militarily and is now viewed as a “paper tiger” or “clowns” by its own people and regional neighbors [00:05].
Alternative Routes: The Middle East is rapidly changing, with Saudi Arabia and other Gulf states diversifying their oil export routes to the Red Sea or through new pipelines to avoid the Strait of Hormuz entirely [06:12].
Proxy Funding: Due to economic strain, Iran is increasingly unable to fund its various proxies—such as Hezbollah, Hamas, and the Houthis—without further inciting its own disgruntled population [08:55].
Political and Media Landscape
Political Strategy: Hanson suggests that Iran’s current survival strategy relies heavily on the hope that the American political left will win upcoming elections and provide them with an economic or diplomatic lifeline [08:13].
Media Criticism: He criticizes mainstream media outlets for being overly pessimistic about U.S. military efforts, noting that the actual damage to Iran’s military infrastructure—accrued over 47 years—is immense and largely underreported [12:32].
Potential Escalation: If Iran continues its aggression, Hanson posits that the U.S. has the capability to dismantle Iran’s dual-use infrastructure, such as their power grid, much like past operations in Belgrade or Libya [11:06].
We need to bomb their stupid well that supposedly has the 12th imam. Make it look like the crater in AZ from the asteroid.
They also shot up the neighborhood and that couldn’t have gone over well.
Hanson suggests that Iran’s current survival strategy relies heavily on the hope that the American political left will win...
Obviously, the Dems must *not* win in November.
Wasn’t he saying things like this 20 years ago in the early days of the Iraq War?
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