Saxon “think it’s more important that Russia fires 7 artillery shells for every one Ukraine fires. Ukraine has cannons, but a shortage of barrels, they only last about a week under typical use.”
Russia can still outshoot Ukraine overall thanks to sheer volume and imports, but the gap has narrowed dramatically this year, and it’s no longer the overwhelming 7:1 dominance it once was. Both sides are paying a heavy price for this artillery duel.
Ukraine is receiving enough shells to occasionally achieve local parity or even superiority. Ukraine prioritizes precision (Excalibur, guided Krasnopol, and increasingly drone-corrected fire), so one Ukrainian shell often achieves what several unguided Russian ones do.
Russian guns suffer barrel wear too—many Soviet-era 152 mm systems are firing at unsustainable rates, and Russia is reportedly cannibalizing barrels from storage or relying on lower-quality replacements.
Thanks for the input. Ukraine really needs to make a deal, things are getting very bad along the front and the longer it goes on, the worse any deal gets. Ukrainians are now dying for their crooked rulers, not their country.