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Has Xi Jinping Lost Control Of China's Military... And China Itself?
Gatestone Institute ^ | 10/19/2025 | Gordon Chang

Posted on 10/19/2025 9:00:04 PM PDT by SeekAndFind

On October 17, China's Ministry of National Defense announced that the Communist Party's Central Committee and Central Military Commission had, after investigations, removed nine senior officers from their posts in the People's Liberation Army.

Pictured: General He attends the opening ceremony of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference in Beijing on March 4, 2025.

The stunning announcement occurred on the eve of the long-delayed Fourth Plenum of the Party's 20th Central Committee, scheduled to start tomorrow, October 20, and continue for four days. On the agenda are crucial economic matters, including the country's 15th Five-Year Plan, which covers the rest of the decade, 2026-2030.

Analysts are also looking for hints whether the Party, at the plenum, will announce changes in its leadership.

If Xi Jinping, the Party's general secretary and chairman of its Central Military Commission, was responsible for the just-announced removals of the flag officers, he will undoubtedly emerge from the plenum as strong as ever, perhaps even stronger.

If, as is more likely, Xi's enemies arranged the removals, China will almost certainly have a new leader soon. Xi's position would be untenable.

Who, then, was responsible for the announced changes?

Both the Wall Street Journal and the New York Times reported that Xi was the one who removed the nine officers.

That conclusion, at least at first glance, seems logical. After all, Xi has been powerful for a long time, so it is natural that journalists ascribe every significant action in China to him. In fact, at one time he had almost complete control over the People's Liberation Army, which reports not to the Chinese state but to the Communist Party. Xi's major reorganization of the PLA, conducted in the middle of last decade, and his periodic "corruption" purges gave him the opportunity to install loyalists.

"In most systems, repeated purges of senior military leaders would trigger crisis or resistance," Craig Singleton of the Foundation for Defense of Democracies told the Times.

"Xi's ability to churn and burn through top generals without sparking significant institutional pushback reveals the strength, not fragility, of his rule."

Xi may be purging his own people, but that is not the most likely explanation. Beginning July 9, 2024, PLA Daily, the Chinese military's main propaganda organ, ran a series of articles praising "collective leadership," a clear criticism of Xi's demand for complete obedience.

These articles were written by those aligned with the No. 1-ranked uniformed officer, Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Gen. Zhang Youxia, and could not have appeared if Xi were in complete control of the military. Zhang is known to be a political enemy of Xi.

Tellingly, the most senior of the nine officers axed on the 17th was General He Weidong, the second-ranked vice chairman of the Commission and Xi Jinping's No. 1 loyalist in the PLA. The general had gained prominence as Xi's top enforcer in the military.

Gen. He was last seen in public on March 11. On Friday, the Defense Ministry reported that he had been expelled from the Party pending ratification at a plenary session of the Central Committee, and his case had been transferred to a military procuratorate "for review and prosecution."

On October 18, PLA Daily issued an editorial stating Gen. He and the eight others had been "disloyal." The publication indirectly referred to them as "hidden tumors."

Gen. He was not the only officer who backed Xi and has now been taken out of the military's leadership ranks. Moreover, it is difficult to identify any Xi adversary who was purged in the last 18 months.

"The continuation of the purges is hard to explain if Xi dominates the political system because his supporters are now being purged," Charles Burton of the Prague-based Sinopsis think tank told this author in July, after a previous round of firings.

"Sometimes the simplest explanations are the most credible. The simplest explanation is that Xi's enemies—not Xi himself—removed Xi's loyalists."

The People's Liberation Army is the most important faction in the Party. "Mao Zedong famously said, 'political power grows out of the barrel of a gun,' a principle that may now be turned against Xi Jinping," Burton, also a former Canadian diplomat in Beijing, remarked on Friday.

"In the armed forces, dissent is growing amid his regime's economic and social failures," Burton continued, referring to Xi.

"The Fourth Plenum poses a direct threat to his leadership. Even if he survives this meeting, the internal pressures suggest his grip on power is more fragile than ever."

Throughout this year, there have also been reports of continuing struggles in Communist Party civilian circles.

It is unlikely, at a time Xi Jinping appears to be fighting for political survival, that he would remove his most important supporter in the military. It is far more probable that Xi has lost control of the People's Liberation Army, especially because the removals strengthen Gen. Zhang, Xi's adversary.

"Party elders believe they cannot allow the leadership struggle to continue beyond the Fourth Plenum," Blaine Holt, a retired U.S. Air Force general who follows Chinese politics, told Gatestone after the Defense Ministry's announcement.

China, by Thursday, could have a new leader. Or a new round of purges.

Either way, there will be blood on the floor, at least figuratively.

* * *

Gordon G. Chang is the author of Plan Red: China's Project to Destroy America, a Gatestone Institute distinguished senior fellow, and a member of its Advisory Board.



TOPICS: Government; Military/Veterans; Society
KEYWORDS: ccp; china; control; xi

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1 posted on 10/19/2025 9:00:04 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

No.


2 posted on 10/19/2025 9:11:49 PM PDT by yesthatjallen
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To: SeekAndFind

Many of these maneuvers occur in the background. Most of the time, the people looking at long odds acknowledge they have lost, give up in hopes of leniency in the purges to come. But sometimes, they round up supporters and duke it out, with rival military and paramilitary units fighting on each side. That’s when it gets interesting, and the specter of civil war rears its pretty little head.


3 posted on 10/19/2025 9:28:02 PM PDT by Zhang Fei (My dad had a Delta 88. That was a car. It was like driving your living room)
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Arthur Wildfire! March; Berosus; Bockscar; BraveMan; cardinal4; ...

4 posted on 10/19/2025 9:28:38 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (NeverTrumpin' -- it's not just for DNC shills anymore -- oh, wait, yeah it is.)
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To: All

Let me rewrite the article.

But it should have said is, I have no idea what happened in China and I have no idea what the consequences are for what happened in China and if I was not being paid somehow for the text that I just wrote, and I was thinking rationally, I would not have written it.


5 posted on 10/19/2025 10:07:11 PM PDT by Owen
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To: SeekAndFind

The CPC 4th Plenum has opened, and Xi appears to be on task outlining the economic and social goals for the next 5 years.
I think some of the predictions of Western and Western influenced experts are wishful thinking.


6 posted on 10/19/2025 10:19:43 PM PDT by sockmonkey (Conservative. Not a Neocon.)
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To: SeekAndFind
Of Gordon Chang, one reads: "...author of the 2001 book The Coming Collapse of China in which he predicted the collapse of China by 2011. In December 2011, he changed the timing of the year of the predicted collapse to 2012. "

So, he's only off by a couple of decades..... So far.

7 posted on 10/19/2025 10:50:43 PM PDT by Worldtraveler once upon a time (Degrow government)
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To: SeekAndFind

Photo of General He.

After I failed as a standup comic I never recovered. The world will pay.


8 posted on 10/20/2025 12:49:56 AM PDT by frank ballenger (There's a battle outside and it's raging. It'll soon shake your windows and rattle your walls. )
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To: sockmonkey
I think some of the predictions of Western and Western influenced experts are wishful thinking.

The west should wish Xi stays. He is incompetent in the same vein as Brain-dead Biden and Hor-izontal Harris. He has damaged the CCP to the point it is now facing a USSR-style collapse. The largest bureaucracy in the world is broke and needs to loot Taiwan for survival. Xi is the communist idiot that took them there.

9 posted on 10/20/2025 1:24:54 AM PDT by Reeses
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To: frank ballenger

[Photo of General He]

In the Democrat Joe Biden Administration it would have been:

Photo of General He / She / They / Them / Two-Spirit


10 posted on 10/20/2025 1:28:48 AM PDT by SaveFerris (Luke 17:28 ... as it was in the Days of Lot; They did Eat, They Drank, They Bought, They Sold ......)
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To: Owen

Your 屁股 hurt?


11 posted on 10/20/2025 2:17:11 AM PDT by ifinnegan (Democrats kill babies and harvest their organs to sell)
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To: sockmonkey

This is all coming from other Chinese.

It may be wishful thinking or otherwise internecine and/or psychological warfare.

But it’s not originating with “Western and Western influenced experts.”


12 posted on 10/20/2025 2:20:22 AM PDT by ifinnegan (Democrats kill babies and harvest their organs to sell)
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