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Posted on 08/14/2025 5:27:24 AM PDT by whyilovetexas111
The proposal would recognize that while Russia cannot continue to push westward, the project for Euro-Atlantic expansion has also run out of steam. It would see the establishment of deconfliction channels, neutral zones, and lines of control that, taken together, would formalize something that resembles spheres of influence, even without naming them as such.
(Excerpt) Read more at nationalsecurityjournal.org ...
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Formalize spheres of influence? Seems we had that for most of the last 70 years. Welcome back to the Iron Curtain.
Brics block wants to give terms.
Isn’t that the UN?
Putin needs to stop his war. Then he can talk about his pipe dreams.
What are they going to do…sic India on us? Or Brazil?
More like make an agreement to continue growing their sphere.
Gobbledy babble in the article. The key word is armistice.
There is no peace treaty in Korea. Folks forget this.
There is an armistice. It defined the border and DMZ.
South Korea explicitly REFUSED to sign this agreement. China signed, North Korea signed and the UN Command (two US generals) signed. South Korea objected to a border defined by combat and wanted total ejection of N. Korean politics and China from the territory, which would all be labeled Korea with no delineation.
Sound familiar?
It has held up for 70 years.
The lines are where they are. Every day of no agreement they move westward. Note this was not how Korea unfolded.
S. Korea’s army was largely wiped out. Seoul was captured more than once and then uncaptured by UN (aka US) forces. Pyongyang was also captured, and then the Chinese entered the war and uncaptured Pyongyang.
There is near 0 probability that mass insertion of US troops is going to happen for Ukraine. That movement westward of the combat lines doesn’t show any signs of stopping and each additional claim by Europe that just some more bone breaking sanctions will fix everything hasn’t proven true so far. And probably won’t.
Russia has oil. China consumes 16+ million barrels/day and produces about 4.5. India consumes over 5 million bpd and produces 900K. Everywhere else producing oil already has customers for it.
An armistice may be the best deal Ukraine can get. Probably is. If the Russians allow it while winning so.
This would just mean a switch by Russia from open war back to hybrid war. The West would take its obligations not to act seriously or as an excuse to do nothing while Russia would pursue a campaign of bribery, intimidation and subversion over its “sphere of influence” until the states affected are ready for re-incorporation into the neo-Russian Empire like Belarus.
As Russia fades from importance, Putin is hoping to make it a bigger player than it really is.
The same sorts of things that preceded WWI and WWII and did not work.
I’m hoping for something totally Trump.
Out of the box.
About the author:
Nikolas Kirrill Gvosdev is a Russian–American international relations scholar. He is currently professor of national security studies at the U.S. Naval War College and the former Editor of the bi-monthly foreign policy journal, The National Interest.
Dissolve NATO.
Euro-Atlantic Expansion? Where?
What putin wants is the USSR back just like it was. For that he will not rest until he is dead or gets what he wants, whichever comes first.
I would be willing to compromise with the Slavic countries like Belarus and Ukraine, and declare them neutral, but hands off the Baltic States, they remain with NATO.
After all, if the Russians can just march into Belarus, up to the Polish border, then strategically Ukraine won’t matter as much. Any guarantees regarding Ukraine, must also apply to Belarus.
Sounds like my wife, can’t settle one thing without starting something else. Expansive negotiation with no intention of settling anything. Why bother to settle when you are winning and damn the cost?
Putin considers any border state a DMZ at the least. This goes along with traditional russian paranoia as if mother russia is not big enough to provide their own border wastelands. They will not break with tradition.
I believe that it was Zietlin that described 11 or so invasion corridors that russia feels they must control, Ukraine is just the second one and Georgia is the first they took I think, not sure but they do control Georgia satisfactorily. The others are all the satellite states surrounding them for all intents. Russia now has their eye on Azerbijan and is probably worried about the loss of Iran. For russia there is a threat from the eagle’s global imperialism behind every tree.
Ukraine is far from guiltless and not nearly as smart as they think they are but they are not the aggressor in this affair. They did place their bets on bidet, newland et al and lost that bet but they did not attack russia or taunt them. Notwithstanding the nefarious relationship with bidet and their current apparent corruption, like we don’t have any, and the fact that Zelensky is a conniving worm, I do not understand the gut level hatred of Ukraine that so many have. There seems to be a lot of confusion about who is the real bad guy in this war.
But nobody is going to go to war with Russia over Ukraine.
And if the Euros actually stop buying Russian oil, which actually puts more money in Putin’s coffers than what they send to Ukraine, maybe Putin might reconsider.
But noooooooooo, they can’t be inconvenienced, they only want the US Taxpayer to be inconvenienced.
Baltic States are next on the menu so that Kaliningrad isn’t separated from the Motherland. Once that is done, Poland and the rest of Ukraine is the dessert.
As good a guess as any. They cast a glare toward Finland and reconsidered, not worth the price.
Protect Kaliningrad because nobody is threatening it, of course, that makes sense.
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