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Just spoke to a Democrat consultant friend on the ground in a swing state who told me I could repeat some of what we discussed.
Twitter / X ^ | November 05, 2024 | Councilwoman Vickie Paladino (NYC)

Posted on 11/05/2024 7:52:28 AM PST by Red Badger

Just spoke to a Democrat consultant friend on the ground in a swing state who told me I could repeat some of what we discussed. Here's what I can tell you; take it with a grain of salt if you like but I think he's being straight with me.

Nobody really thinks Kamala is going to win at this point. Canvassing is going poorly almost everywhere, with few exceptions. The party is getting their high-follower influencer accounts to push out motivational stories just to keep morale up and get them over the finish line with some dignity, but it's not great. The Iowa poll was good to give a shot of adrenaline to volunteers, but nobody important believes those numbers are real.

Of all the swing states, they're hoping Michigan comes through and possibly a late-night miracle in PA, but nobody is counting on either of them. They don't think Trump is actually going to flip VA or NH, but the fact that they've even entered the conversation is indicative of how bad things could potentially turn out.

The early vote counts are just beyond what they expected to see for Republican turnout, and has Dem strategists rethinking whether it was a good idea to make such a big push to broaden early voting in the first place. Republican low-propensity voters are activated in a way nobody really expected and the polls didn't capture it. Yes it's possible those early Republicans broke Democrat in an unprecedented way, but very unlikely.

The campaign has switched entirely to 'woman vs. man' messaging, as liberal white women are the only reliable voter bloc they can even identify at this point.

Priority now is saving some downballot races and flipping the house so the night isn't a total embarrassment for Democrats.

Like I said, take this all with a grain of salt as this is secondhand information, but this is what I was told, and I think it tracks with other things we know.

12:56 PM · Nov 4, 2024

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To: FLT-bird

“Such large majorities would break the back of the RINO’s ability to slow things down and to water things down for their Democrat Establishment buddies”

their fellow Democrats


41 posted on 11/05/2024 8:08:34 AM PST by stanne
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To: cowboyusa

Black Philly turnout is way down.


That’s the “Tell”.....Go Eagles! (Until we meet in the NFCCG)


42 posted on 11/05/2024 8:08:36 AM PST by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: dp0622

Yes, keep praying.


43 posted on 11/05/2024 8:08:37 AM PST by stevio (Fight until you die!)
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To: cgbg
In other news some Freepers have been caught putting yellow mark-down stickers on their black pill bottles.

Freeper Reddit trolls like CatOwner and Nwrep are very disappointed by this news. They are over at Reddit now, masturbating to Gay Anime porn and ordering up DoorDash burritos.

44 posted on 11/05/2024 8:09:05 AM PST by pburgh01
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To: mikelets456

Yeah, it’s heavy. It just took me half an hour to vote in Delco.


45 posted on 11/05/2024 8:09:09 AM PST by Windcatcher
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To: Red Badger
"possibly a late-night miracle in PA"

Democrat miracles DO happen...


46 posted on 11/05/2024 8:09:09 AM PST by ProtectOurFreedom (“President Trump sells out Madison Square Garden -- Kamala sells out America”)
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To: Red Badger
Notice, once again, nobody is talking about Donald Dems.

Guess who really terrifies Deep State, folks...

47 posted on 11/05/2024 8:09:22 AM PST by mewzilla (Never give up; never surrender!)
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To: GrandJediMasterYoda

O-blue-terated.


48 posted on 11/05/2024 8:09:28 AM PST by going hot (Happiness is a Momma deuce)
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To: batazoid

You’re a loser even if Trump wins.


49 posted on 11/05/2024 8:09:34 AM PST by SaxxonWoods (.You will suffer from one: The pain of discipline or the pain of regret. )
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To: Red Badger

If the house flips, that’s a Constitutional crisis.

There might be two other words to describe the matter but they be kinda dramatic...


50 posted on 11/05/2024 8:09:43 AM PST by OKSooner
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To: mikelets456
Voted in Bucks County PA and it was VERY heavy turnout

Hopefully you observed more men than women, especially in the under 60 age group. Also, more Whites than blacks, as we know the percentages blacks vote for dems.

51 posted on 11/05/2024 8:10:01 AM PST by 1Old Pro
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To: GrandJediMasterYoda

I agree. DJT wins and it will be obvious tonight.


52 posted on 11/05/2024 8:10:28 AM PST by laplata (They want each crisis to take the greatest toll possible.)
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To: corlorde

Or the swim coach said, “Swim through the wall!”


53 posted on 11/05/2024 8:10:49 AM PST by ponygirl (Stay gold.)
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To: Red Badger

I know someone who is working with the Walz campaign.

They are expecting a loss.


54 posted on 11/05/2024 8:12:04 AM PST by Andy'smom (Proud member of the basket of deplorables)
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To: lucky american; Vermont Lt; Liz; Lazamataz; MtnClimber; ridesthemiles

Nobody is mentioning this line:

“...Dem strategists rethinking whether it was a good idea to make such a big push to broaden early voting in the first place.”

This is huge. They pushed for decades for ‘early voting’. They got it, practically universal.

Now they regret it when it turns on them and bites them in teh butt..................


55 posted on 11/05/2024 8:12:13 AM PST by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegals are put up in 5 Star hotels....................)
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To: freebilly
“Yeah, yeah, but never underestimate the Dems willingness and ability to cheat to achieve their goals....”

Which is what virtually all of my fellow travelers say when discussing our predictions.

Yet the media describe us all as deranged or delusional to even suggest there’s any fraud going on out there…

56 posted on 11/05/2024 8:13:07 AM PST by daler
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To: Andy'smom

57 posted on 11/05/2024 8:13:27 AM PST by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegals are put up in 5 Star hotels....................)
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To: cgbg

It is understandable, IMO, given what happened in 2020 and 2022. I think there are a lot of concerned people who would be absolutely thrilled to be proven wrong/worried over nothing.


58 posted on 11/05/2024 8:13:56 AM PST by Sicon ("All animals are equal, but some animals are more equal than others." - G. Orwell)
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To: cgbg

Hee hee.

I know who you’re talking about :-)


59 posted on 11/05/2024 8:14:08 AM PST by Jane Long (Jesus is Lord!)
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To: Red Badger
Let's see what happens today. Too early to tell what's going on. I see pictures of long lines in PA filled with men in traditionally red voting districts. I also see long lines in Philly - blue voting area.


60 posted on 11/05/2024 8:14:09 AM PST by AnotherUnixGeek
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