Posted on 10/04/2024 7:04:07 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
New polling numbers out of the states of Ohio and Wisconsin are very good news for Mitch McConnell and very bad news for Chuck Schumer. Panic seems to be setting in for Democrats as they see their chances of retaining control of the Senate slip from their grasp.
In Ohio, Democrat incumbent Sherrod Brown is consistently polling behind his Republican rival, Bernie Moreno. RedState reported last week on polling from RMG Research that showed Moreno ahead of Brown by a 48 percent to 46 percent margin. New polling out from ActiVote confirms Moreno's lead, with the new data having Moreno sitting at 51.1 percent while Brown is at 48.9 percent. That's a pretty consistent 2 percent-plus lead for the Republican challenger with just under five weeks until election day.
There have been signs that Democrats were getting ready to call it quits on Sherrod Brown, most notably the lack of funds flowing into his campaign from the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC). The DSCC seemed to be diverting funds from Ohio into the Senate race in Montana, where incumbent Jon Tester is facing stiff competition from Republican Tim Sheehy.
Seeing their chances of retaining Senate control dwindling, the DSCC decided to focus on the races in Texas and Florida, where Republican incumbents Ted Cruz and Rick Scott are up for reelection. This could well be a Hail Mary pass from Democrats, who are desperate to keep Chuck Schumer as majority leader.
The Dems haven't completely given up on Ohio, with plenty of outside money being spent in the state by PACs, but a recent fundraising appeal seems to confirm that the party is hitting the panic button:
“This is bad,” the Ohio Democratic Party said in a campaign fundraising email soon after the polls were released. “We can’t let Bernie Moreno gain any more ground — not if we want to keep the Senate blue.“
They may find it hard to keep the Senate blue if polling out of Wisconsin proves true. Democrat Tammy Baldwin is hoping to get a third Senate term, but recent internal polling shows she is losing significant ground to Republican Eric Hovde.
Baldwin leads by just two points in internal Democratic polling, a source familiar with the campaign told Axios. That is much closer than what public polling has shown for months.
'Alarm Bells': Dems Now Panicking About Senate Race in Wisconsin
Keeping Baldwin's Senate seat wasn't supposed to be challenging for Democrats; unlike Sherrod Brown's race, the DSCC has put money into her campaign, to the tune of $7 million. Someone who sees an opening for Republicans in Wisconsin is Mitch McConnell, whose Senate Leadership Fund is pouncing on the opportunity by investing $17 million into Hovde's race. Mitch would love nothing better than to boot Chuck Schumer right back into the minority, a possibility that seems to be inching closer to reality. That would be almost as satisfying to watch as seeing Nancy Pelosi having to hand over the Speaker's gavel ... twice.
(Incidentally, the race to replace Mitch McConnell as majority/minority leader is on, with the options now down to the "three Johns": John Thune, John Cornyn and John Barrasso.)
It does look like Chuck Schumer's days as majority leader are coming to an end, and that's a good thing. If the Democrats were to take the White House, a GOP-controlled Senate would be an important check on the radical agenda sure to be pushed by the executive branch.
Ditch is quite happy being in the Minority.
Vance might actually be the guy to craft the GOP
I find this surprising as Brown held a 6 point lead not long ago. Also in Ohio senators of either party tend to get reelected until they quit.
It doesn’t matter, no difference. We could have the House and the Senate both and they will still fight Trump every step of the way to keep him from getting anything done. They are all on the same team and hate him just as much as the Democrats.
I agree. JD Vance can finish what Donald Trump started.
We need someone decent to replace $itch as leader. Rick Scott would probably do the trick.
This means nothing. Absolutely nothing.
A GOP Senate majority will have whoever the majority leader is (McConnell said he was stepping down and would retain his seat but not his position) . . . whoever it is . . . WHOEVER it is, will lead the charge raising the debt ceiling.
THERE IS NO FIX. THERE ARE NO POLICIES. They will raise the debt ceiling and run up more debt and it doesn’t matter who is in charge.
The only thing being voted on is Trump and his desire to drain the Swamp. There are no other issues because $36T debt erases all other issues.
I head Hovde’s interview with Ben Shapiro today. He’s magnificent
Trump’s victory is a fart in the wind without both chambers. Having the Senate allows Trump to get his cabinet appointments and judges. Without that he is hamstrung. Remember how hard it was at the start of his last term? He is smarter now but must have strong control of DOJ and other branches promptly as they will be doing all they can to wreck his administration and that includes wrecking the nation.
If that’s correct, then Brown will then be the exception to the rule twice - he defeated a Republican incumbent and will be defeated as an incumbent.
With a Trump victory and Senate control, Thomas and Alito can more safely step down.
Hope to have a cushion so Collins and Murkowski won’t be the deciding votes and they can be as “independent” as they want.
Just absolute nonsense to suggest it did not matter and was no difference. That’s just ridiculous. Where exactly were you during Trump’s presidency? This is a serious question. It made no difference to have Republicans in control of the Senate to get all of those judicial nominations through, including 3 Supreme Court justices? The same thing would have occurred had Democrats been in control? Tax reform would have went through under Dem control of Congress? All of those CRAs would have went through with Dem control of Congress?
Thomas stepping down is a sad but necessary thought. I could not imagine what a giant he would become when he was first confirmed. He will be hard to replace.
You also don't believe Paul Ryan and Mitch McConnell don't still complicate Trump and MAGA?
Inquiring minds what to know…
IF THE DIMS JUST NOW NOTICED THIS...BOY OH BOY...DO THEY NEED HELP...OR WHAAAAT?
So now will they try to assassinate all the republican Senators too? Not just Trump?
No. We’ve had enough of the 70+ age group. Can’t we get one of the senators in their 50’s at least. We’ve seen what a mess the 70 year olds have done to this country. New blood!
So I guess you should just move to no-man's land, since you think every political party is out to get you and you've decided to give it all up and except total defeat. I myself, plan on fighting a little longer.
I don’t think we lose both of them at the same time. They are the only 2 reliably conservative justices.
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