Posted on 09/04/2024 1:05:38 PM PDT by Tench_Coxe
Good Morning !
Summer is over ...
I like Rasmussen, but clearly it looks like he has an outlier 2 days ago and now today’s may be an outlier as well.
Still shocking so many would vote for “Heels Up”, the communist
The Dems are already panicking so time for them to do something stupid again
She’s starting to crater.
She’s going down.
If they ALL showed that then it’s worth discussing. When left leaning pollsters show Comrade Kamala leading and right leaning pollsters show Real American Trump leading it’s just narrative polling.
She’s blown her wad.
Perhaps what's more important is what states they ARE NOT polling (or polling and not publishing).
People are wondering why Kamala Harris is going to New Hampshire when the state went 53-45 for Biden in 2020. The only NH polls that were published were the local colleges and TV (St. Anselm, UNH, WHDH-TV) that all showed Harris leading by a large margin.
What about New Jersey? A poll in June (Co/efficient) had President Trump up by 1, and a second in July (United 2024) had Trump up by 2. There has be NO polling in New Jersey since then. One would think the polling companies would want to prove these polls to be outliers, but nothing else has been published. Why not?
The "dog that didn't bark" is the polls that are NOT being released. It's clear that these pollsters do NOT want the narrative out there that NH or NJ is tilting towards Trump, because they fear the bandwagon that might incite.
Harris going to NH might be a tell that internal polling has her worried. Let's see if she makes a stop in New Jersey at some point, too.
-PJ
“She’s going down.”
I’m sure it isn’t the first time!
But she’ll do anything to get ahead.
Rasmussen does ~350 interviews per business day. This small sample has a large MOE, but when they release results once a week as a poll, that has ~1750 respondents and is of good size.
Note they also include a 5 day rolling average in their chart too which is perhaps more useful than the daily responses.
MOE is a bit over over 5. Thus, results not statistically significant.
Like she did on Willie Brown?
Left leaning pollsters over-sample dems in order to get the results they want. A lot of the right leaning ones probably do as well.
From what I've seen, Rasmussen samples more evenly to get a real feel for what's going on.
Also, a lot of the poll results are from a few days, if not a few weeks ago. Rasmussen is usually the most current.
Gotta pay attention to when each poll was last done.
said Willie Brown.
I spend my retirement looking at politico, mediaite, and axios, and left wing sites. The comments still have Kamala as a problem with a lot of the left wing loonies. They do not like her.
Not saying they won’t vote for her, I’m saying a lot are going to stay home. There’s the big IF. If democrats cheat with mail in ballots and ballot harvesting.
I’m not saying Trump will win. I’m not saying Red Wave. I’m saying there’s a lot of apprehension. We need to pay attention and not be fooled.
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