Posted on 07/26/2024 7:39:41 PM PDT by Macho MAGA Man
James Piereson is a political scholar and analyst for the Manhattan Institute. He recently wrote a column comparing Kamala Harris to failed 1988 presidential candidate Michael Dukakis, but one of the most fascinating parts of the column is a passage where he predicts the outcome of the 2024 election.
Piereson writes at The New Criterion (bolding added for emphasis):
[Kamala Harris is now enjoying this kind of moment as she racks up endorsements in anticipation of the Democratic National Convention in August. Democrats and media allies are busy portraying her as a fresh face (she is not) and a youthful candidate (also doubtful) who will electrify the nation, galvanize women and minority voters, and trounce Donald Trump in the fall campaign…
The honeymoon will not last very long. Trump will succeed in painting Harris as an out-of-touch San Francisco leftist, much as Bush portrayed Dukakis as a Massachusetts liberal. Trump will find plenty of running room with that campaign, as there is hardly a left-wing cause that she has not embraced…
Notwithstanding the euphoria today, Trump will win the election by six points—forty-nine to forty-three percent—winning 339 electoral votes, including all of the so-called swing states, plus the Democratic-leaning states of Virginia, Minnesota, and New Hampshire. Republicans will pick up three or four seats in the Senate and perhaps twenty seats in the House, giving them safe majorities in both chambers. This will give Trump the margins he needs to implement a good piece of his agenda in 2025 and 2026.]
This column is currently one of the most read articles on Real Clear Politics and for good reasons. Piereson makes some outstanding points based on history and research.
(Excerpt) Read more at thegatewaypundit.com ...
(KSTP TV (ABC Affiliate in Mpls-St Paul) released their Survey USA Polll tonight.
They show Harris leading Trump by 10 points - a four point increase over their last poll which showed Biden up by 6 points.
Per the poll, Harris grew her strength among women, suburbanites and Independents.)
Not good at all 😞
Let me have a little fun here.
Suppose at the convention the states actually determine their delegates as they should from the primaries votings. Since less than 15% of the primaries voted for someone other than Biden, if it is tabulated and applied legally, Biden wins. According to CNN, biden won every territory but one and all the states. If Biden doesn’t win it will disenfranchise 3904 delegates out of 3949. The maximum amount of delegages that Harris could win is the 37 uncommitted delegates on the books (and they won’t all vote for her). Guess what, Biden wins, She can’t. If it is possible for a dead person to get elected, then it is possible for a quitting person to be put on the ballot at the general election and get the votes. Otherwise, they screwed thousands of voters and Kamala would have to be a write in candidate. If it was done above board. Fun, huh?
wy69
Basically what is going on is this..you had people who couldn’t vote for Biden so they were going to vote for rfk jr now that Harris is running they dropped rfk jr and went back to Harris notice rfk jr lead has diminished it’s his voter base that has dropped not trump
In that universe do u think Potato Joe ever led Trump by 6 pts?! Stop believing leftist polls. The Dems didn’t even believe these bullsh*t polls, or else they wouldn’t have pushed him.
If Biden was up 6, he’d never have dropped out. So much doom and gloom when watching actions matter more than a wild poll that points to Biden’s easy reelection, come on.
Biden’s record on the border, the food and gas prices, Harris’ own weaknesses on police and so on, the Dems still have nothing save for, “Trump bad” that is a very weak message. Still like Trump’s chances, which I think is a 2 out of 3 chance to capture the white house.
We have to hope Biden will deliver the campaign coupe d’etat and come out
and campaign for Harris. And with his massive ego, that is likely to happen.
He never “gets it” that he’s the problem. The buzz is Dems
had to threaten to forcibly remove him if he didn’t drop out.
A bonus for Republicans would be if drjill also campaigns fot Harris.
Does Piereson mention that Trump won in ‘20?
yes, people are simply coming back to Democrats who would have eventually anyway. Trump hasn’t lost any support.
Do you not take his word?"
The RNC hiring a cadre of lawyers and Trump's ranting about The Steal® in 2020 is not going to prevent it from happening again. The trap has already been sprung when Republicans in too many states failed to pass and implement election integrity laws. The trap has already been sprung when Republicans in too many states failed to clean up voter registration rolls. Trump obviously means what he says, but he and the GOP have squandered that last four years with talk versus concrete action.
Trump won in a landlord last time also. Look where that got him. The fraud machine is still in place.
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