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To: AndyJackson; marcusmaximus; Paul R.; Bruce Campbells Chin; PIF; familyop; MercyFlush; tet68; ...

Ukraine ping

Andy Jackson: [You are an idiot. Read Tom Schelling before you start talking about how deterrence works.]


A lefty academic talking in abstractions, an SPLC donor, the ultimate deep stater, impresses you? Why not read Herman Kahn? Many lefty nuclear war theorists attempted to confuse decision makers with gobbledygook to impress them with their own brilliance.

The reality is that it boils down to the basics - costs and benefits. A Russian nuclear attack against the US means the conversion of the Russian populace to a pile of ashes. No coming back from that, whatever Schelling may have to say. And that’s why Putin will hold his nuclear fire. Fear of consequences. In Schelling’s world, Russians may be fearless caricatures who have no fear of national extinction. In the real world, they definitely do. That’s why they stood by in the face of multiple reverses - Russians hate, but they also fear.


82 posted on 05/01/2024 7:29:42 AM PDT by Zhang Fei (My dad had a Delta 88. That was a car. It was like driving your living room)
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To: Zhang Fei

Thanks ZF!


83 posted on 05/01/2024 7:33:20 AM PDT by SunkenCiv (Putin should skip ahead to where he kills himself in the bunker.)
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To: Zhang Fei

You are finished here and your utter ignorance is on display to the world now. Tom Schelling was not a “a lefty academic talking in abstraction” and this assertion demonstrates your utter moronic and shallow understanding of nuclear deterrence and nuclear strategy.


84 posted on 05/01/2024 7:34:05 AM PDT by AndyJackson
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To: Zhang Fei

Russians hate, but they also fear.


also there is a strong element of mysticism mixed with that fear: Lately the ashes of Alexander Vasilyevich Suvorov are prayed near - by the likes of Sergei Kuzhugetovich Shoigu and others. Suvorov ashes were taken to the Front to bolster troop morale in the hopes that fewer would die, but were somewhat damage by a UKR artillery strike.

Now the ashes of Prince Grigory Potemkin-Tavrichesky will soon be sent to Crimea.

From a highly placed Russian blogger:
“Sergei Kuzhugetovich is confident that the ashes of Alexander Vasilyevich strengthened the morale of our military, and we are now moving forward at the front. Prince Potemkin can become the heavenly protector of Crimea, for which he did a lot during his lifetime.”
https://t.me/kremlin_secrets/3969


90 posted on 05/01/2024 8:42:47 AM PDT by PIF (They came for me and mine ... now its your turn)
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