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To: EnderWiggin1970
I do not trust the daily reports from either Russian or Ukrainian sources, on individual daily basis, except for events like a factory exploding or a ship sinking. Both sides are releasing information that makes them look good or softens the blow for their country's citizens. The rest of the world is a secondary news source and market for this conflict. For a conflict involving a major world power like Russia, Americans are not used to this. Anything coming out of Twitter, Telegram, YouTube or social media is suspect. There no social media user is getting field reports before Kyiv or Moscow.

Russians will eventually take Avdiivka, at far greater cost than Ukraine, then stop, unable to advance further. The same as what happened in Bakhmut. Russia is not attacking places out of operational planning or strategy. They are attacking where there are enough rail lines and roads to concentrate forces to attack. That's it. Russian logistics can not handle more than that.

Social media can take every Twitter or Telegram about every block by block report and turn them into overly academic analyses all they want. The big picture is Avdiivka is 11 square miles, Russia flanked the city on three sides, and it took them two years to take it. That is a pitiful showing by the Russian military.

Russia is willing to take high loses. There is still a limit on what they can take and fight effectively. According to Forbes, Russia lost 10% of its tanks at Avdiivka, at a 12:1 loss ratio, for what is left of the city. Ukraine can afford to trade a pile of rubble for casualties like that.

One more of many Russian Pyrrhic victories.

31 posted on 02/15/2024 7:46:08 PM PST by Widget Jr (🇺🇦 Слава Україні! 🇺🇦 🛇 CCCP 2.0 🛇)
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To: Widget Jr

“According to Forbes”

Thanks for the LAUGH!


33 posted on 02/15/2024 7:50:50 PM PST by BobL (Trump gets my vote, even if I have to write him in; Millions of others will do the same)
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