Attack On Europe: Documenting Russian Equipment Losses During The 2022 Russian Invasion Of Ukraine

ORYX ^ | Since February 24, 2022 and daily | ORYX

[SpeedyInTexas]

This list only includes destroyed vehicles and equipment of which photo or videographic evidence is available. Therefore, the amount of equipment destroyed is significantly higher than recorded here. Loitering munitions, drones used as unmanned bait, civilian vehicles and derelict equipment are not included in this list. All possible effort has gone into avoiding duplicate entries and discerning the status of equipment between captured or abandoned. Many of the entries listed as 'abandoned' will likely end up captured or destroyed. Similarly, some of the captured equipment might be destroyed if it can't be recovered. When a vehicle is captured and then lost in service with its new owners, it is only added as a loss of the original operator to avoid double listings. When the origin of a piece of equipment can't be established, it's not included in the list. The Soviet flag is used when the equipment in question was produced prior to 1991. This list is constantly updated as additional footage becomes available.

[SpeedyInTexas]

Ukrainian Tank losses Running Total: 734

Ukrainian Artillery losses Running Total: 450

RuZZian Tank losses Running Total: 2623
January 2024 – 43
December 2023 – 74
November 2023 – 67
October 2023 – 108
September 2023 – 57
August 2023 – 86
July 2023 – 113
June 2023 – 73
May 2023 – 90
April 2023 – 5
March 2023 - 127
February 2023 – 118
January 2023 – 61
December 2022 – 76
November 2022 – 105
October 2022 – 212
September 2022 - 217
August 2022 – 74
July 2022 – 108
June 2022 – 67
May 2022 – 148
April 2022 – 243
Feb 24 - March 2022 – 350

RuZZian Artillery losses Running Total: 995
January 2024 - 24
December 2023 - 33
November 2023 - 25
October 2023 - 77
September 2023 - 48
August 2023 - 67
July 2023 - 56
June 2023 - 47
May 2023 - 43
April 2023 - 24
March 2023 - 37
February 2023 – 41
January 2023 – 31
December 2022 – 19
November 2022 – 55
October 2022 – 64
September 2022 - 73
August 2022 – 21
July 2022 – 21
June 2022 – 18
May 2022 – 20
April 2022 – 52
Feb 24 - March 2022 – 110

[SpeedyInTexas]

Previous day’s thread: https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/4210630/posts

Summarizing this war:

A tragedy for Ukraine.
A disaster for RuZZia.
A strategic win for the USA.

“Why Internet Trolls Do What They Do and How to Spot Russian Fakes”

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dLtBzvw0—0

“Here is the best-kept secret about U.S. military aid to Ukraine: Most of the money is being spent here in the United States. That’s right: Funds that lawmakers approve to arm Ukraine are not going directly to Ukraine but being used stateside to build new weapons or to replace weapons sent to replace weapons sent to Kyiv from U.S. stockpiles. Of the $68 billion in military and related assistance Congress has approved since Russia invaded Ukraine, almost 90 percent is going to Americans, one analysis found.”

https://twitter.com/TheDeadDistrict/status/1730119780873441750

[SpeedyInTexas]

Time to strip Hungary of its voting rights.

“Prior to tomorrow’s consideration of a resolution to deprive Hungary from its voting rights in the Council of the EU, Orbán has signaled to the EU that it is ready to lift its opposition to funding Ukraine. Talks continue to enable Hungary to save face.”

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1747538745748848942

“EU confident of Orbán U-turn on allowing money to Ukraine
Talks continue over how to enable Hungarian government to save face ― while still getting Kyiv its cash.“

“Budapest has signaled to the EU that it is ready to lift its opposition to funding Ukraine ― as negotiations continue on sweeteners that would make it easier for Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán to climb down.

According to several European diplomats and officials, Orbán is edging closer to accepting a compromise to use money from the bloc’s budget, even though a deal is likely to fall short of demands he made in the aftermath of last month’s failed summit.

Orbán blocked a €50 billion four-year funding package to the war-torn country in December ― a move he was able to make because it needed unanimous support from the EU’s 27 governments ― prompting Europe’s leaders to consider breaking with the bloc’s hallowed principle of unity and finding a way to circumvent him.”

https://www.politico.eu/article/european-union-ukraine-awar-hungary-viktor-orban-funding-u-turn/

[SpeedyInTexas]

Vodka?

“In Russia, a Mi-8 helicopter made an emergency landing on the M3 highway in the Bryansk region after it hit a power line.“

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1747615535615918192

[SpeedyInTexas]

The Drunk is out of bed!

“Deputy Chairman of the Security Council of the Russian Federation Dmitry Medvedev said that Russia will now always fight against Ukraine. “There is a 100 percent probability of a new conflict, no matter what security papers the West signs with the puppet Kiev regime. It could happen in ten or fifty years,” he mumbled.”

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1747608319626269005

[SpeedyInTexas]

“In the Zaporizhzia direction, a Russian tank burned out.”

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1747596229339476181

[SpeedyInTexas]

“In Bashkortostan in Russia, clashes began with police officers over the verdict of a local activist, who was sentenced to 4 years in prison. After the verdict was announced, several thousand people came to the court to protest. Brawls broke out, tear gas and stun grenades were used. Bashkortostan People’s Republic.“

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1747558042424512982

[SpeedyInTexas]

“Ukrainian soldiers destroys Russian 205th Motorized Brigade that decided to land on islands near Kherson. They just couldn’t provide evacuation, delivery of food and ammunition As a result, invaders shoot themselves on the islands, realizing that it is better to shoot themselves than to freeze to death According to Putin only “sanitary losses””

https://twitter.com/GloOouD/status/1747566822021366094

[SpeedyInTexas]

Fav video of the day

https://twitter.com/666_mancer/status/1747555080130175390

[SpeedyInTexas]

Backup fav video of the day

https://twitter.com/666_mancer/status/1747538470317195546

[SpeedyInTexas]

‘Something blew up’

“Major incident at the Shakhty polyester plant in Rostov Oblast, where polyester staple fiber is allegedly being produced. The plant was opened in June 2023.“

https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1747552847749607521

“Russian channels report that the plant, which was finished just recently at a total cost of ~5 billion Rubles, was attacked by Ukraine.”

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1747542593397788780

[SpeedyInTexas]

Peak China

BRICS is a joke.

Working age population declined by 10 million in 1 year! IN 10 years, that will be 100 million fewer working Chinese. OUCH.

RuZZia and China are powers in DECLINE The West needs to manage that decline.

“China’s population declines for second straight year as economy stumbles”

“China reported a record low birth rate in 2023 as its population shrank for the second year in a row. The trend marked the deepening of a demographic challenge set to have significant implications on the world’s second largest economy.

The country recorded 6.39 births per 1,000 people, down from 6.77 a year earlier, China’s National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) announced Wednesday. The birth rate is the lowest since the founding of Communist China in 1949.

Some 9.02 million babies were born, compared with 9.56 million babies in 2022. The overall population fell in 2023 to 1.409 billion, down 2.08 million people from the previous year, the bureau said.”

…

“In December, new home prices fell by the highest amount in nearly nine years, according to a Reuters calculation based on NBS data, and property investment slumped 9.6% in 2023 from the previous year, marking a second straight year of declines.”

…

“China’s working population, classified as those between the ages of 16 and 59, declined by 10.75 million last year, adding to an ongoing contraction. The population of those over 60, meanwhile, continued to expand. More than one-fifth of the population, or nearly 297 million people, are now in that age bracket.”

https://www.cnn.com/2024/01/17/economy/china-population-gdp-decline-2023/index.html

[SpeedyInTexas]

“China’s shrinking population and constraints on its future power”

“According to official U.N. estimates, April 2023 is the month during which, in all likelihood, India will overtake China in population. That is a fascinating story in and of itself, since China has been the world’s most populous country for centuries.

But the real significance of this story, especially for geopolitics, is not about who’s number one. Rather, combined with other demographic realities, the trends send a clear message that China is not 10 feet tall. Any sense of Western defeatism based on fears about the People’s Republic of China’s (PRC) economic and strategic rise should be tempered with the many constraints affecting that country, beginning with its demographics. None of this is to trivialize the significance of China’s rise or the challenges it could pose to the United States and its allies along the way. But it is far from obvious that, hegemonically speaking, time is on China’s side. That observation should provide some tempering perspective on the question of how soon China might use force to attempt reunification with Taiwan or try to displace the United States strategically in the broader Indo-Pacific region. For some U.S. scholars, these kinds of demographic trend lines may persuade Beijing that its window of opportunity to carry out aggression is closing — meaning that it should use force soon. But there are huge risks and downsides to such an attempt given the current correlation of military forces, and the difficulty of achieving a decisive victory in a great-power war. Thus, a more compelling interpretation is that China’s presumed future dominance is not preordained on any timetable. The PRC is, and will be, formidable, to be sure. And it is dangerous. But it is not poised to establish hegemony in either the first or second half of the 21st century as some kind of historical inevitability.

Back to the data. What is fascinating is not just that India will, at the level of about 1.4 billion citizens, slightly overtake China sometime this month (or at least, let’s say, this year — acknowledging the uncertainties in these kinds of population counts). The curves displaying their population trajectories over time have very different shapes. China’s population is, in fact, already declining. Its population will likely decline faster and faster in the decades to come — even if the PRC government has other wishes — because Chinese citizens are already choosing to have far fewer babies than had been expected when the earlier one-child policy was gradually relaxed, then lifted, in the last couple decades. Those trends can be expected to continue in a society that is becoming richer, and more expensive, and also has a gradually improving social safety net and retirement system. Indeed, according to current projections, China’s population is likely to drop below 1 billion by 2080 and below 800 million by 2100. Those specific numbers will surely change; the downward shape of the curve almost certainly will not.

India by contrast will keep growing quickly for a while. Its population is projected to approach 1.7 billion by 2060 before descending back to about 1.5 billion by century’s end.

These numbers are of course rough, and tentative. Herculean policy interventions — or natural catastrophe, nuclear war, or other exogenous shocks — could change them. But they are extrapolations of trend lines that are already underway, already evident in the demographic data, and consistent with what we know about demographic trend lines in other modernizing societies. They are far from conjectural.

Being number one may not be all good news for India. A larger workforce is a positive. But the resources, jobs, infrastructure, education, and health care requirements of a growing population will pose huge challenges to New Delhi. Long term, these demographic dynamics may promise a better 22nd century for China than for India — and certainly for the quality of life of the typical Chinese citizen relative to her or his Indian counterpart.

However, for the coming years and decades of the 21st century, the demographic transition in China will constitute a major constraint on the growth of Chinese power. A working-age population that peaked in 2011 at more than 900 million will have declined by nearly a quarter, to some 700 million, by mid-century. These workers will have to provide by then for nearly 500 million Chinese aged 60 and over, compared with 200 million today. America’s social security challenges seem like a policy picnic by comparison.

By century’s end, according to the predictions, the United States will have well over 400 million inhabitants or more than half of China’s expected total. China will still be much bigger in population, of course, but the two countries will not be in totally different leagues.

Factoring in NATO and key East Asian allies, the Western alliance system already has a billion people today — 70% of China’s total. Yes, many U.S. allies face declining demographics as well. But overall numbers within this bloc are likely to hold relatively steady, as modest American (and Filipino) population growth counteracts European, Japanese, and Korean declines.

Thus, not long after 2050, this Western alliance network will collectively approach China in total numbers of citizens. The West will likely remain significantly wealthier on a per capita basis as well. In fact, Brookings economist David Dollar has even speculated that China might overtake the United States in gross domestic product in coming decades — only to have America regain the claim to the world’s biggest economy toward the end of the century.

None of this should make us complacent about the challenges we face from Beijing. But Chinese power and military opportunity are constrained in the short to medium term by American as well as allied military and high-tech preeminence; Chinese power is constrained over the longer term by demographics and resource scarcity. If we in the West can get our own acts together, time is not overwhelmingly on China’s side.”

https://www.brookings.edu/articles/chinas-shrinking-population-and-constraints-on-its-future-power/

[FtrPilot]

Tonight, Ukraine used the FrankenSAM for the first time in combat conditions. It shot down Shahed from a distance of 9 kilometers.

FrankenSAM is a hybrid air defense system jointly developed by the Pentagon, the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, and the Ministry of Strategic Industry.

In fact, these are three anti-aircraft missile complexes: the Soviet Buk air defense system with American RIM-7 Sea Sparrow missiles, AIM-9M air-to-air missiles in combination with Soviet radars and air defense systems based on Ukrainian old systems with Patriot elements and missiles.

https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1747594297304645815

[PIF]

[FtrPilot]

🧨 Russia: Partisans set the Severskaya Police Station on fire in Krasnodar Krai.

https://twitter.com/igorsushko/status/1747573631453118902

Partisans are at it again.

Krasnodar Krai on Google Maps

[PIF]

Kremlin snuff box
https://t.me/kremlin_secrets/3452

Why are they suddenly talking about moving the capital from Moscow again? Is it true that this is impossible?

Unexpectedly, a lot of talk arose around the transfer of the capital of the Russian Federation from Moscow. In particular, historian Afanasy Nikolaev handed over an open letter to Vladimir Putin with a proposal to consider the possibility of moving the capital to Irkutsk.

Dmitry Peskov has already responded to the idea, calling it unrealizable in the current conditions.

There are several points about this.

Firstly, in his letter the historian rightly noted that moving the capital to Irkutsk would ensure security for the country’s leadership. Now the danger for Siberia is much less than for Moscow.

However, there is another question here. Elites want to live in comfortable conditions. Putin, for example, really likes Sochi, but now he rarely goes there.

Sending all ministers and tens of thousands of officials to Irkutsk in one fell swoop is, of course, a large-scale idea, but it will most likely lead to collapse rather than provide any bonuses. At the same time, Irkutsk is significantly closer to our main partner - China.

Secondly, it is worth noting that the idea of ​​moving the capital is not new. In November last year, due to the difficult situation at the fronts, documents even began to be taken out of Moscow.

Among the candidates for the status of the new/temporary capital Kazan, Yaroslavl, and Yekaterinburg were named. We also wrote that not far from Yekaterinburg, a new bunker for the President was built.

Thirdly, is Peskov right when he says that moving the capital is now impossible? Any tasks depend on conditions. Now, fortunately, Moscow is not being bombed and there are no enemy troops on the approaches to it.

Moreover, such a scenario looks frankly unlikely. But if conditions change, the issue of moving the capital can be resolved as soon as possible. Sources in the Kremlin apparatus told us about this. As expected, many people are against the transfer, including Sergei Sobyanin.

[PIF]

Kremlin snuff box
https://t.me/kremlin_secrets/3454

Explosion at a plant in the Rostov region: three important news

There are three important things to report about the explosion at the polyester plant in Shakhty.

Firstly, according to sources in the Ministry of Emergency Situations and the government of the Rostov region, unfortunately, two people injured in the explosion died. Six victims are in hospitals.

Secondly, our information was confirmed - the explosion occurred in a workshop for the production of FPV drones. About 200 units of finished and almost finished drones were lost.

Thirdly, we were reproached for not “noticing” in the video from the scene of the emergency traces in the sky that indicate the operation of air defense. They say the explosion was the result of an enemy strike, falling debris, or even an unsuccessful hit by our anti-aircraft missile, which flew in the wrong direction.

We respond to these reproaches. We noticed everything. Military sources assured us that the air defense system actually went off near the plant. Two enemy drones were shot down. Their debris fell in an open area and had nothing to do with the emergency at the enterprise.

The explosion and fire were almost certainly caused by a bomb that was planted in the drone production workshop. The explosion itself was strong, but was not associated with air strikes, which can be seen in the video of the moment of the emergency.

“Our air defense, although rarely, makes mistakes. This is definitely not the case,” a source close to Rostov Governor Vasily Golubev assured us.

When asked why the plant had a workshop for the production of military products, he replied that in this way they wanted to hide it from enemy attacks.

[PIF]

Kremlin snuff box
https://t.me/s/kremlin_secrets

A workshop producing drones for the army exploded in the Rostov region

An explosion at the Avangard plant in Shakhty, Rostov region, occurred in a workshop where FPV drones were produced. Thank God, there were no fatalities, but three people were seriously injured.

According to our sources in the government of the Rostov region, a private company that collaborated with the Ministry of Defense, two months ago rented one of the workshops of the Avangard plant to produce drones for the front. “They made FPV drones and sold them to armies, as far as I know, at fairly low prices. According to the preliminary version, someone blew up the workshop. A terrible event, it’s good that there were no dead,” our source said.

According to an interlocutor at the Ministry of Internal Affairs, possible losses are “several hundred ready-made or almost ready-made drones.” He also said that there are two versions of the crime.

The first is the actions of saboteurs. The second is that the workshop was undermined by unscrupulous competitors. They were unhappy with the low prices at which the affected company supplied drones to our Armed Forces. An investigation has been launched.

Note that this is not the first attack on the production of FPV drones in our country. In November, a workshop for the production of kamikaze drones burned down in the Krasnodar Territory . At first, saboteurs were suspected of that fire, but, according to the investigation, the workshop was most likely set on fire by unscrupulous competitors of businessmen who produced drones for the army. Evidence is currently being collected against the suspects in this crime.

UPD. According to the latest data, 12 people were injured as a result of the explosion in Shakhty, three in serious condition.

UPD 2. Unfortunately, there are dead. You can read important details about the explosion here.

[PIF]

Let’s also factor in that at least 600 million Chinese live in abject, grinding poverty, poverty that no American has ever lived through - their homeless population is >10s of millions.