CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate to High THREAT - up dated July 14, 2024
— Attempted assassination of Trump.
July 25 - Protest of Netanyahu’s appearance before congress.
August 19 - DNC convention in Chicago, IL
***
Antisemitic rioters stormed the United States Capitol yesterday. The group flooded the U.S. Capitol one day ahead of the planned “Day of Rage” against Netanyahu’s visit to Congress. Many arrests were made.
Far-left and Palestinian nationalist groups have announced plans to try to shut down Washington, D.C. in response to Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu speaking at the Capitol on July 24. 10-20K expected tomorrow.
OBSERVATION - If these numbers come through, it would be a surprisingly small number of protestors in comparison to the numerous other large pro-hamas / anti-Israel protests of the past months.
Terrorism - Heightened THREAT as of May 6, 2024
Maintaining the Trump assassination attempt here under terrorism, and with good reason because the situation surrounding Crooks keeps getting deeper and deeper.
Secret Service Director Kim Cheatle resigned on Tuesday morning. This is one day after her evasive and repulsive testimony before Congress and 10 days after President Trump was shot on stage at a rally in Butler, Pennsylvania.
The FBI and DHS have refused to appear before a congressional review committee. It is evident that the coverup shields are not at full capacity and Cheatle is their sacrificial lamb. I don’t expect to see any breakthroughs in the investigation unless a whistleblower(s) step forward with the receipts.
Economy- MODERATE Threat - as of June 26, 2024
Existing-home sales in the US plunged to one of the lowest levels seen since 2010 last month, as would-be sellers held out for better mortgage rates and buyers flinched at sky-high prices.
Sales of previously owned homes fell 5.4 percent from May, dropping to an annualized rate of 3.89 million, according to data released Tuesday by the National Association of Realtors (NAR). This marks the fourth consecutive monthly decline.
Economists had forecast an annualized rate of around four million sales. This was lower than even the most pessimistic forecasts.
The slowdown comes amid surging prices, with the median sales price hitting a new record of $426,900 in June, up 4.1 percent. Prices are climbing even though more homes have entered the market recently, though inventory remains historically low.
OBSERVATION - Housing market is a key indicator as to the health of the country’s economy and this report indicates that things are not improving but getting worse.
POLITICAL FRONT –
August 19 DNC convention in Chicago, IL
U.S. Secret Service officials asked the Trump campaign to stop scheduling large outdoor campaign events over security concerns after the 13 July assassination attempt in Butler, PA.
OBSERVATION - This is clearly an effort to quell the enthusiasms for Trump by denying him large venues. Election interference. The assassination attempt would not have even gotten off the ground had the SS done its job in the first place, now being used as an overall excuse to interfere in the campaign.
****
A new Reuters/Ipsos poll has found that Harris leads Trump 44% to 42% in the national poll (with a 3% margin of error).
However, review of the polling internals reveals a sampling of 426 Democrat voters vs. 376 Republicans and 341 Independents.
OBSERVATION - Like I’ve said before, the ‘polls’ over the next couple weeks are not going to reflect the actual views of the people but will be skewed to sway the democrat sheeples into having some ‘hope’.
***
Black Lives Matter is demanding the Democratic National Committee immediately host an informal, virtual snap primary across the country prior to the DNC convention in August, just hours after Vice President Kamala Harris secured enough delegates for the nomination.
“We call for the Rules Committee to create a process that allows for public participation in the nomination process, not just a nomination by party delegates,” BLM said in a statement provided to Reuters.
“The current political landscape is unprecedented, with President Biden stepping aside in a manner never seen before. This moment calls for decisive action to protect the integrity of our democracy and the voices of Black voters.”
OBSERVATION - Apparently BLM is not happy with the election of the first “black” female presidential candidate.
***
Vice President Kamala Harris is the least “electable” among potential Democrats to replace President Joe Biden atop the 2024 ticket, top writers of the New York Times found Monday.
The report underscores Democrats’ lack of a democratic process to select a new de facto nominee — all while nullifying about 14 million votes that were cast for Biden during the Democrat primary.
Many believe the decision to replace Biden amounted to a “coup.” Biden stepped aside on Sunday after top Democrats threatened him with invoking the Twenty-Fifth Amendment to force him out, sources told the New York Post on Monday.
The Times analysis found Harris was the “most risky” and least viable candidate, while Gov. Josh Shapiro (D-PA), in contrast, would be the most likely to beat former President Donald Trump.
***
The Washington Post reports that Harris will not preside over Netanyahu’s address. That presiding role is diplomatic custom for a vice president in their role as president of the Senate. She instead is reported to be attending an event for Zeta Phi Beta sorority in Indianapolis.
***
Trump, on the other hand, will play host to Netanyahu at the former president’s Mar-a-Lago home in Florida on Friday. The meeting was originally scheduled for Thursday, but then moved to Friday, Trump announced on his TruthSocial.com account. The date was moved to Friday based on a request from Netanyahu.
Biden / Harris Watch –
HUGE scuttlebutt that this was a democrat coup against biden. The powers determined he had to step down from the campaign, allowed him to implode in the debate and gave him a chance to step down on his own. Failing to do that pelosi/schumer et al lowered the boom and threatened to 25th Amendment him out all together. He and his ‘handlers’ saw the light and chose to ride out the rest of his term on the relative sidelines.
Biden is expected to give a Wednesday night speech to the nation to explain his decision to drop out of the race. We’ll have to wait and see what the current spin is on the situation.
***
Biden was seen in public for the first time in six days on Tuesday as he left isolation in Delaware to return to the White House.
The 81-year-old has not showed his face since his bombshell announcement he was dropping out of the race on Sunday and sparked wild conspiracy theories with his absence.
Biden also claims he will meet with Netanyahu on Thursday.
OBSERVATION - Clouds concerning the nature and severity of his physical and mental condition still hang over him. This likely goes beyond the wuhan cover story. He appeared very weak, holding onto a mask rather than wear it.
***
Vice President Kamala Harris is the least “electable” among potential Democrats to replace President Joe Biden atop the 2024 ticket, top writers of the New York Times found Monday.
The report underscores Democrats’ lack of a democratic process to select a new de facto nominee — all while nullifying about 14 million votes that were cast for Biden during the Democrat primary.
Many believe the decision to replace Biden amounted to a “coup.” Biden stepped aside on Sunday after top Democrats threatened him with invoking the Twenty-Fifth Amendment to force him out, sources told the New York Post on Monday.
The Times analysis found Harris was the “most risky” and least viable candidate, while Gov. Josh Shapiro (D-PA), in contrast, would be the most likely to beat former President Donald Trump.
OBSERVATION - The NYT’s is not buying the hyper spin that the democrat operatives are throwing out there along with the very faked polls. The democrat flag ship of printed news siding against harris is not a good sign for her campaign.
Cyber attacks/warfare – HEIGHTENED ALERT as of April 20, 2024
CrowdStrike Intelligence warned that hackers are attempting to use the Falcon Sensor outage to distribute malware named “crowdstrike-hotfix.zip” disguised as a program to fix systems impacted by the outage. Impacts from the outage are still rippling through the international system and state-linked, politically motivated, and criminal hacking groups are attempting to exploit the CrowdStrike outage to conduct network reconnaissance and data exfiltration beyond what CrowdStrike has reported.(FO)
***
Hackers have stolen and leaked internal documents stolen from Leidos Holdings one of the largest IT services providers to the Pentagon, Homeland Security, NASA, and other U.S. government agencies, according to Bloomberg.
Russia -
Logistics –
Ukraine severely damaged the last functional Russian cargo ferry for railcars, 150 meter long ‘Slavyanin’ at Port Kavkaz next to the Kerch bridge which connects occupied Crimea to Russia.
The Slavyanin is the last operational rail ferry Russia has in the entire Black Sea. The two other ferries were taken out in May 2024.
Now the supply line into Crimea must rely on the heavily threatened Kersch Strait bridge.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures continue in the 90s with some 100s and fair.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Russian army conducted missile strike at infratructure in Lozova town of Kharkiv region, 3 person wounded.
Russia hit the Ukraine grain port of Izmail.
According to Ukrainian monitoring channels, Russia hit Romania with a Shahed drone as part of that attack
Shahed flew in and exploded in Romanian village Plauru.
Romania is a NATO country and this isn’t the first instance of Russian drones/missiles striking it.
Outlook —
Unlikely anything will happen as a result of Russia hitting Romania with drones.
Fighting on the ground continues with localized fierce battles.
Lack of drinkable water continues to plague Russian forces, a fact that Ukraine is using to its advantage in the Kherson region - dropping poisoned drinking water to Russian forces.
Kyiv is beginning to position itself politically and militarily in anticipation of a Trump presidency.
ISRAEL –
July 25 - Netanyahu’s appearance before congress.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Overnight and this morning, more ATGMs and mortar shells were launched from Lebanon towards Israel. Israeli army retaliated with air strikes and artillery fire.
The Israeli army: We bombed a Hezbollah missile platform in Kafr Hamam, infrastructure in Aita al-Shaab, and an observation point in Khiam, southern Lebanon.
The Israeli Army: Reserve Brigade forces, led by the Northern Region, completed training on combat scenarios in Lebanon
Hezbollah released drone footage of Ramat David airbase in northern Israel. The group claims the footage was taken by its Hoopoe drone. The footage is based on a series of videos released by Hezbollah demonstrating that their drones have recorded sensitive Israeli sites
——— FORECAST ————————-
Reports of reserve force train-ups for the Hezbollah operation indicate that the kick-off of operations is relatively close. Forces can only remain at high levels of readiness before that readiness starts to drop off through fatigue.
Operations in Khan Younis to continue as IDF has corralled another band of Hamas trying to reform and are being systematically eliminated.
Thanks
If Harris was elected what do you think would happen to our support of Israel?
CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate to High THREAT - up dated July 14, 2024
— Attempted assassination of Trump.
August 19 - DNC convention in Chicago, IL
***
Protestors against Netanyahu were out yesterday. Capital police reported that part of the crowd has became violent at First Street and Constitution Avenue, NW. The crowd failed to obey our order to move back from our police line. We are deploying pepper spray towards anyone trying to break the law and cross that line.
After being unable to storm the Capitol, leftist pro-Palestine rioters at the “Day of Rage” in D.C. ripped down the American flags outside Union Station and replaced them with Palestine flags. The American flags were then set on fire.
Numerous other monuments were vandalized.
OBSERVATION - The abundance of charter busses and common shirts, posters etc indicate $$$ was pumped into the event from outside - likely from Iranian sources as Netanyahu noted during his speech. Actions didn’t win any converts and did anger many. The fact that the DC police were able to handle them indicates the hard core elements were not in force and they reverted to ‘easier’ actions such as vandalism. I expect that over the next few days, many of the vandals will be doxxed and reported to their respective employers for action. That proved useful during the campus riots earlier this spring.
Terrorism - Heightened THREAT as of May 6, 2024
FBI Director Christopher Wray announced that they are increasingly concerned about a coordinated foreign terrorist attack in the United States. Concern is increasing due to expected exploitation of the southern border and entities planning attacks, “perhaps like what we’ve seen against the concert hall in Russia.”
OBSERVATION - Mixed messages from the regime obviously. On the one hand, the border is secure (DHS), while the other warning of terror threats due to an insecure border. Frankly, in the current political environment and the lack of leadership in the WH the US is very ripe for a major terror attack(s) and that risk is growing as the election bears down on us.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
North American Aerospace Defense Command (NORAD) announced that the U.S. military intercepted two Russian and two Chinese bombers in the Alaska Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ) on Wednesday ahead of Joe Biden’s speech.
According to the U.S. Army, the Tupolev Tu-95 “Bear” is a “large, four-engine turboprop-powered strategic bomber and missile platform.” The Xian H-6 (Hōng-6) is “a license-built version of the Soviet Tupolev Tu-16 twin-engine jet bomber, built for China’s People’s Liberation Army Air Force.”
POLITICAL FRONT –
August 19 DNC convention in Chicago, IL
**** Remember, most polls are designed to shape opinion, not reflect it. ****
Roughly half of the Democrats in Congress boycotted Netanyahu’s speech yesterday - denoting the shift towards pro-Hamas inclinations of the democrats.
***
The Democrat party will reportedly change the rules and coronate Vice President Kamala Harris as its nominee in the first week of August, weeks before the Democratic national convention.
The shortened timeline underscores the Democrats’ disregard for the democratic process of selecting a candidate for president. By simply choosing Harris for the nomination, Democrats will nullify about 14 million votes cast during the Democrat primaries for President Joe Biden.
OBSERVATION - I’m not too concerned about the circumvention of ‘democracy’ - big party boss democrats will big party boss. It is, however, setting the party up for a potential slamming in the general election - in spite of some of the skewed push polling, harris remains lower in polls than even biden. As her cackling laugh track fills the airways over the next few weeks prior to the DNC convention - they may be forced to get her off the ticket and replaced with some one else.
Biden / Harris Watch –
biden delivered a historic address to the nation on dropping out of the race, but doesn’t say why.
However, it wasn’t a “live’ as announced. Internet sleuths noted that Biden’s own wristwatch, showing he recorded the address an hour earlier.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures continue in the 80 - 90 degree range and fair.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Russian drone attack hit Zhytomyr Oblast where 10 private houses and an infrastructure facility were damaged overnight
Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief Colonel General Oleksandr Syrskyi stated that the Russian military has significantly increased its manpower and materiel commitments to the war in Ukraine over the last two and a half years. Syrskyi told UK outlet The Guardian in an interview published on July 24 that Russian forces currently have 520,000 personnel committed to the war in Ukraine and that the Russian military aims to have 690,000 personnel committed to the war by the end of 2024.
Outlook —
Syrskyi’s observations show that some how Russia has been able to scrape forces together to grow the war effort - moving towards nearly 3 times the force size that initially invaded in 2022. Part of this growth appears to be linked to the sizable payments for volunteers. However, Russia has a tendency to renege on those promised payments - especially in the case of death on the battle field.
This personnel growth is in the face of losing well over 1000 daily, 35,000+ per month. Equipment being supplied is older and older tanks, APC and other items.
Even with the numeric advantage, Russia is still struggling to gain ground on the battlefield. A comparison was made between Ukraine’s 2023 offensive and Russia’s 2024 efforts and found that Russia has only gained less than 90 sq km more land than Ukraine did.
How much longer Russia can sustain such costly operations is dependent on Ukraine receiving munitions and other supplies from the west.
Europe / NATO General –
Drone fragments were found around a Romanian village near the Danube and Ukraine border after overnight Russian attacks against Ukrainian infrastructure: Romanian television station Digi24 reported
Foreign Minister of Romania: More heinous attacks have been perpetrated by Russia against Ukrainian civilian infrastructure. Debris has been found on Romanian territory. We have informed and are coordinating with our Allies on this matter. Romania strongly condemns these irresponsible actions
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Netanyahu addressed congress for the 4th time.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Lest we forget - there are still hostages being held in Gaza.
***
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu broadly outlined his vision for the future of Gaza after the Israel-Hamas war ends, emphasized the necessity of maintaining a strong US-Israel relationship, and proposed a new Middle Eastern security alliance in a speech to a joint session of the US Congress on Wednesday. Netanyahu called for a complete revamping of Gaza’s government, suggesting that a “civilian administration” of Palestinians should run the war-torn enclave.
Israel PM Netanyahu says in his speech before the congress that he “will not rest until all the hostages return”
Netanyahu says Israel must retain “overriding security control” of Gaza “for the foreseeable future.” Says Gaza should have Palestinian civilian administration that agrees to peace with Israel
***
The IDF recovered the bodies of hostages Maya Goren, Oren Goldin and Staff Sergeant Tomer Ahimas from Hamas captivity in Gaza, it was cleared for publication on Wednesday evening. Kibbutz Nir Oz said in a statement, “Tonight, we were informed that the body of the late Maya Goren was recovered in a military rescue operation. After over nine months, she was brought back home for burial. The family was updated in the last few hours about the operation,” the kibbutz said in a statement.
The announcement means 111 of the 251 people taken hostage are still being held in Gaza, including 39 who the military says are presumed dead.
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Rockets launched by Hamas yesterday from the Israeli-designated humanitarian zone in the Gaza Strip struck a United Nations-run school in Khan Younis, killing and wounding Palestinians, the Israeli army says. According to the Israeli army, it received reports from international aid organizations that two civilians were killed and several more were wounded after the rockets struck UNRWA’s Al-Qarara school. The Israeli army says the rockets were fired by Hamas from the humanitarian zone, but failed to cross the border into Israel, falling short on the school in Khan Younis.
More than 60 targets were struck by Israeli Air Force fighter jets, attack helicopters and drones in the Gaza Strip over the past day, the military says, as ground troops continue operations in Khan Younis, Rafah, and the Netzarim Corridor area. In Khan Younis, the Israeli army says troops with the 98th Division killed numerous gunmen and destroyed some 50 sites belonging to terror groups over the past day
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
The US Central Command said on Wednesday that it destroyed three missile launchers on territory in Yemen held by the Houthi militia. It was the latest in a series of military operations targeting Houthi sites in response to continuing attacks by the militia on international shipping.
——— FORECAST ————————-
Israel to continue to hammer concentrated Hamas elements in the Khan Yunis area. With Netanyahu’s visit to the US coming to a close by this weekend, I’m sure much more focus will on preparations to fully engage Hezbollah. August continues to be a viable opening of the window for operations.
Netanyahu’s US visit in a key manner was to gauge the political sentiments to support Israel in its next phase against Hezbollah. He sees in harris a very negative attitude towards Israel, where as with Trump he sees a level of support expressed during his first term as president. So part of the calculation will be to see if it is better to strike Hezbollah sooner rather than later when trump is sworn back in in Jan 2025 (yes, i’m projecting here a great bit).
Misc of Note –
The last few weeks have been absolutely crazy - and the future even more dangerous.
The deep state has proven to be aggressive in targeting Trump - from falsifying FISA warrants and faking reports, etc, to the bogus law fare against Trump and now even likely deeply involved in the Trump assassination attempt.
We see the left willingly taking the knives out to put biden out of the election run as his poll numbers and mental/physical health crashed. harris should well watch her back because she can be targeted as easily as biden in the weeks before the DNC convention. She isn’t favored by 0bama and other power players.
Democrats potentially implode with more civil war over the president candidate while the deep state continues to target Trump.
One scary scenario would be a nuclear option, totally kicking the legs out from the economy and unleashing social chaos / rioting across the country. Deeply involved in this would be the millions of illegals - many from countries hostile to the US. Burn down the country in order to rule over the ashes.
Combine with the multiple other threats that are on the margins, ranging from terror attack (see Terror) to China/Taiwan to an explosive middle eastern situation.
I pray this isn’t in the offing, but the storm clouds foretell nasty things on the horizon not yet clear, but circling like vultures.