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To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..


Globalism / Great Reset –

Ireland’s new Hate Speech Bill offers no clear definition of what “hate” entails. Experts warn this could pave the way for the criminal prosecution of a wide range of expression considered unfavourable by authorities…“The world is watching Ireland. The censorial ‘hate speech bill’, if passed, would not only shut down conversation nationally – as the home of various international social media headquarters, it would have a global impact on what we can all discuss online.”

https://expose-news.com/2024/06/30/irelands-hate-speech-bill-will-have-a-global-impact/

OBSERVATION - Concern growing that laws like this can spill over into the rest of the internet and contaminate open discussions there. This reflects the overall goal of globalist to outlaw any speech that goes against their narrative.

In another example of politicians using judges to suppress free speech, Justice Alexandre de Moraes of Brazil has once again set his sights on trying to censor content on X globally.

He gave them 2 hours to delete posts criticizing a Brazilian politician or face a daily fine of 100,000 real ($18,000 USD).

Despite X complying in good faith by withholding the posts in Brazil, he issued a fine of 700,000 real ($126,000 USD), which he claimed was 100,000 real for each of the 7 posts he wanted deleted.

X paid the original 100,000 real fine and is appealing the order, citing “a clear denial of due process.”

NOTE - what can’t be accomplished presently by a singular, global element, is being nibbled away at by individual, leftist govts.


CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT

July 25 - Protest of Netanyahu’s appearance before congress.
NOTE - I mis-dated the Netanyahu speech to this month.

***

Pro-hamas protestors upset a number of LGBT parades over the week end.

These islamic elements are beginning to cast aside the activist elements of LGBT as the movement to force islamic principles and govt on the US grows. Casting away the useful idiots - not surprising as they have fulfilled their initial purpose of pulling larger crowds together. I suspect that the level of violence towards LGBT from islamaphiles may grow over the coming months.

***
There are some rumored attempts at leftists to organize protests on the 4th. Observers / OSINT elements are noting a lack of enthusiasm for an national event on social media. Some level of protests can be expected in the common areas such as Portland, etc.


Terrorism - Heightened THREAT as of May 6, 2024

U.S. military bases in Europe were put on a heightened state of alert over the weekend as installations urged vigilance among their members. At U.S. European Command headquarters in Stuttgart, the Army garrison on Sunday issued a community wide alert that the force protection threat level was elevated to condition “Charlie” until further notice. Similar directives were sent to other bases in Germany, including the Army’s Rheinland-Pfalz and Ramstein Air Base, which together form the largest U.S. military community overseas. The Rheinland-Pfalz garrison alert includes Baumholder and outlying installations in Romania and Bulgaria. Aviano Air Base in Italy also rose its condition level to Charlie, and other installations in Italy introduced enhanced security measures. The Charlie threat level “applies when an incident occurs or intelligence is received indicating some form of terrorist action or targeting against personnel or facilities is likely,” according to the Army’s website.

https://www.stripes.com/theaters/europe/2024-06-30/us-military-bases-germany-terrorism-threat-14342506.html

OBSERVATION (H/T Oorang) - There have been growing concerns of terrorism across much of Europe over the past couple months. Some RUMINT that the threat source may be ISIS who’s been active in Russia over the past year.

***
Special reminder now that we are in the 4th of July celebration week. Because of the high visibility of the holiday and associated concentrations of people, conditions are ripe for some kind of terror strike - from lone wolf to a larger, organized action. There are a substantial number of known and suspected individuals from terrorist states here that have crossed the border illegally.

Enjoy the holiday, but keep your heads on a swivel.


Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics –

Finland plans to offer preemptive bird flu vaccination as soon as next week to some workers with exposure to animals. They are going to administer these shots before any pandemic, epidemic or public health emergency has even been declared and without any evidence, this has even mutated to infect human beings.

OBSERVATION - Panic, panic, panic. IIRC, such actions historically have been bad news for humanity as it permits the sudden mutation of the virus.

***
A recent study using CDC data has uncovered a worrying trend: a significant increase in deaths from neurological diseases among young adults aged 15-44 in the United States. The study, conducted by Phinance Technologies, highlights a sharp rise in deaths where neurological conditions were either the primary cause or a contributing factor, especially from 2020 onwards.

https://greatgameindia.com/breaking-covid-19-vaccines-linked-to-rise-in-neurological-deaths-study/

OBSERVATION - Not familiar with the author of this report - as to the respectability of this ‘report’. However, it does track with other reports of neurological issues associated with the jab.


POLITICAL FRONT –

July 15 RNC convention in Milwaukee, WI
August 19 DNC convention in Chicago, IL

***
The Supreme Court of the United States (SCOTUS) is expected to release their decision on former President Trump’s executive immunity claims at 10 AM EST this morning.

***
Aftershocks continue to roll through the political sphere from last Thursday’s debate. MSM and some appear to have drawn back from over expressions of support for biden. Others, like pelosi have gone full monty gaslighting claiming the it was Trump who actually displayed mental degenerations.

Needless to say, the biden saga has sucked a lot of air out of democrat house and senate races, as those who’ve hitched their wagon to biden and now trying to softly disengage themselves. Here is a rare example of national politics hitting hard on what are essentially local races.


Biden / Harris Watch –

Results of the biden confab at Camp David are leaking out and it appears that they have decided to support the continuation of his run for president. The decision was not without a great deal of converse. biden’s sister Valerie reportedly accused Jill of ‘elder abuse’ and that biden can no longer cognitively make decisions for himself.

Not surprisingly, the greatest advocate of continuing the campaign is the on that is facing the most current legal challenges - Hunter. He teamed up with Jill to push the continuation of the campaign. Without the cover of the president, hunter is hanging out to dry and facing multiple other charges - currently held at bay by his association with his father.

Another result is that the “family” have targeted biden’s top advisors, putting the blame on them for Biden’s poor performance at the debate They reportedly demanding Joe fire or demote his top campaign staffers.

Growing storm of public opinion post debate may cause the ‘family’ to reconsider. An alarming 72% of Americans say biden is not only mentally and cognitively unfit to be president but he also should not run for reelection, an eye-opening poll result released Sunday found after Thursday night’s debate.

Biden does not have the “mental and cognitive health to serve as president,” according to 72% of Americans in the CBS News/You Gov poll out Sunday.
While this total is alarming, it only expands on the majority of Americans who already saw it. This 72% is 7 points higher than three weeks ago, when it was still a 65% majority of Americans who see it the way Donald Trump, his campaign, and conservative media have seen it for years.

https://www.newsmax.com/politics/cognition-unfit-president/2024/06/30/id/1170723/

OBSERVATION - The democrat crisis is not over, not by a long shot. The question now becomes how badly are the democrats willing to allow themselves to be blown away at the ballot box and how many seats lost in Congress. The DNC, though putting on the face of support, is actively allowing the negative reporting via MSM on biden’s decayed cognitive abilities to persist and grow, like the latest being his shortened hours of having any kind of mental functioning. With biden as president - even as a vegetable - the ‘family ‘ will continue to rake in $$$$ and other power perks. 4 more years would provide cover from DOJ actions to curtail their crimes.

The easy out for the democrats - biden ‘voluntarily’ stepping down - is currently denied. This leaves only a few other alternative means of removal, more potentially damaging to party unity. One being the 25th amendment route, with another being an ‘open’ convention where he could be replaced.

A name rising on the list of replacements is Michigan gov Whitmer, the wicked witch of the north. In addition to Whitmer, others under consideration include.Illinois Governor J.B. Pritzker, Senator Amy Klobuchar, Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro, and even California Governor Newsom. Major problem is they (including newscum) are not well known outside of their state - creating a huge PR campaign with a very short window before the elections. Second, many key swing states will have locked in their ballots - so removing biden will not be an option in as many as three of them, if I understand the democrat concerns correctly.

At this stage, biden will be the nominee unless something further happens either directly due to his mental/physical condition or elements within the party decide to act in a more aggressive manner.


China –

China is attempting to clone a SpaceX Falcom booster rocket. They had a major set back yesterday as an engine test failed spectacularly. China’s quality and technology have come a long way, but will need to make a substantial jump to match what SpaceX has been doing for the past four years.


Russia -

NUCLEAR THREATS –
Some Russian commentators are calling for a demonstration nuclear detonation as a means to escalate Russia pressure on NATO for supplying longer range and more lethal munitions to Ukraine. Some of this propaganda may well also to be to warn off US allowing Ukraine to us ATACMS to strike key airbases 200 km from the border. These airbases contain the bulk of Russian aircraft being used in the war.

Kerch Bridge update –

Overnight Ukraine targeted Russia ADA sites established to protect the bridge. Numerous explosions and large fires reported by locals, suggesting the strikes were successful.

Logistics –

Rumors that Russia is beginning to dig mothballed BTR-70s and bring them into service. These APC are notorious for being called death traps by Russian soldiers, in part due to the small escape door located between the middle two wheels as well as having two gasoline engines and gasoline tanks in vulnerable locations. Additionally, armor on these vehicles is very easily penetrated by machine guns.


Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures continue in the 80s to upper 90s and fair.

24 HOUR ROUND UP –

Big fire after and explosion in Nova Kakhovka at occupied part of Kherson region following a Ukrainian missile strike

Russian missile struck Dnipro city. Russian Ministry of Defense claimed full occupation of Stepova Novoselivka village of Kharkiv region of Ukraine and Novopokrovske village of Donetsk region.

Russian Ministry of Defense claims it shot down 36 drones in the Bryansk, Kursk and Belgorod regions overnight.

Reports overnight that Ukraine struck a key air defense position near the Kerch Bridge, temporally closing the bridge.

Ukraine continues to take ground in fighting around Hlyboke and Vovchansk, Kharkiv region

Russian Territory –

Residents of the Belgorod region are complaining about massive power outages. There is no electricity throughout the entire region: in Belgorod and its suburbs, in the Belgorod, Valuysky, Shebekinsky districts, the city of Stary Oskol and other settlements, local Telegram channels write. The channels, citing power engineers, report that there will be no electricity until 13:00 Moscow time. The cause of the accident is not specified.
NOTE - blackout occurred at the same time Ukraine launched a drone attack on the region.

Outlook —

In some key battlefield areas the tide of battle has shifted into Ukraine’s favor and they are regaining ground lost to Russia over the past several months. The Russian spring offensive has drained them of a lot of men and more so, key equipment like tanks, APCs and artillery. The Ukraine UAV attacks are relentless and in some ways more effective than artillery.

Russian forces are increasing attempting what some are calling “Mad Max” assaults, where Russia troops are mounted on motorcycles and ATVs in a mad dash towards jumping off locations for ground assaults. Needless to say, these assaults come with high casualties for Russian forces.

Increasingly, Russian sources / milbloggers are reporting of substantially low morale as units have been decimated to just a few survivors - and Russian commanders force them into more ‘meat assaults”.

No word on the rumored first tactical use of F16s by Ukraine.
A bigger thing to watch is if Ukraine gets the OK to attack Russian airbases outside the 100 mile limit set by the US. Expansion of the area of engagement will further twist the tails of Kremlin planners. Ukraine has developed other missiles capable of striking these bases needing no US approval, but the ATACMS systems are very efficient and virtually unstoppable by Russian ADA assets. Casual Russian parking of these important combat aircraft - as documented by open source imagery , would make such a strike shooting ducks in a barrel.


Europe / NATO General –

NATO representatives have expressed concern over Russia’s actions in the NorthSea over the potential mining of critical Western infrastructure. Russian ships reportedly performed as many as a thousand suspicious maneuvers

***
Macron’s call for snap election have backfired on him in a big way. Yesterday France’s far right National Rally (RN) made big gains in the first round of the parliamentary election, winning 33.4% of the vote. The left wing coalition New Popular Front came second with 27.9%

Celebrating her party’s success, Marine Le Pen said “democracy has spoken” as she declared President Emmanuel Macron’s camp “practically wiped out” - his alliance came third with 20.7% of the vote

It is unclear if the RN will be able to garner enough support at the second round next Sunday to take full control of the National Assembly.

Voter turnout in Sunday’s poll soared - the highest in a parliamentary election since 1997

Almost immediately after results came out, thousands of leftists/antifa and muslim took to the streets, burning and looting businesses in Paris and other town. Many businesses quickly boarded up in anticipation of more rioting.

France may well be on the edge of a civil war over the next couple weeks.


ISRAEL –

——— GENERAL ——————————-

Lest we forget - there are still hostages being held in Gaza.

——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-

Intense fighting reported in the Gaza City, Khan Yunis and Rafah areas overnight

——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-

Explosion heard in the Damascus area from a suspected IAF strike.

———WEST BANK——————————-

Israeli security forces arrested at least 16 Palestinians from the West Bank last night

——— FORECAST ————————-

Continued IDF operations which allow Hamas elements to regroup only to have them hit by IDF raids, artillery and air strikes to continue.

Israeli pressure on the official govt of Lebanon to continue in an effort to develop a split of some degree with Hezbollah will continue as well. This, combined with continued precision targeting of Hezbollah key leaders will keep the organization on its toes and degrade Hezbollah’s ability to plan and eventually to respond to future Israeli operations.

Finally, Iran works thru its election for a new president, disrupting its own preparations against Israel.

What is concerning is that Iran appears to be making the case for Israel’s war against Hezbollah to justify accelerating its nuclear program. Iran may be counting on the mental case biden has clearly shown the world that he is. But this is a two edged sword. Jumping forward towards a nuke and fearing no coherent US response may release Israel - seeing the same demential US president - to take matters into its own hands.


Turkey –

Israeli airline El Al reported that its Warsaw to Tel Aviv flight was not allowed to refuel at Turkey’s Antalya airport after making an emergency landing.

According to El Al’s statement, workers at the Antalya airport refused to refuel flight LY5102 before it could take off for Israel. Following the incident, the plane flew to Rhodes in Greece, where “it will refuel before taking off to Israel,” the airline said.

The plane was eventually allowed to take off to Rhodes, Greece to refuel before flying to Israel.

Turkish diplomatic sources confirmed that the plane was allowed to make an emergency landing for medical reasons.

After last year’s earthquake in Turkey , Israel sent the largest international rescue team, saving countless lives.

OBSERVATION - This act is an affront to civilized behavior.



616 posted on 07/01/2024 8:24:12 AM PDT by Godzilla (“When tyranny becomes law, rebellion becomes duty” - Thomas Jefferson)
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To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..

CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate THREAT - up dated July 2, 2024
July 25 - Protest of Netanyahu’s appearance before congress.
NOTE - I mis-dated the Netanyahu speech to this month.

***

IMHO, we are now crossing the threshold into CW2 and have not reached the kinetic stage yet. Leftist hysterics over the USSC immunity decisions sparked calls all over for the assassination of Trump, conservative USSC members and many other conservative leaders. These calls for violence are from all up and down the line. One example posted on “X” -

- “President Biden, acting within the scope of his official duties, could dispatch the military to take out the conservative justices on the Court” – Rep. Zoe Lofgren (D-CA)

- According to the Supreme Court, Biden could now send in Seal Team 6 to take all of them out. He could send in the military to take out Trump. He has “immunity” for official acts now! - Harry Sission

- CNN’s Jake Tapper, who’s at the center of a $1 billion defamation suit against CNN, kept coming back to an insane, liberal conspiracy theory that the ruling opened the door to presidents assassinating their political rivals.

After playing oral argument audio from April, in which liberal Justice Sotomayor floated the bonkers notion of a president ordering SEAL Team 6 to assassinate a political rival, Tapper asked a panel of CNN legal analysts: “Did the court say, ‘Yeah, you can assassinate a political rival?’”

Democrats, as usual, take their conclusions to the dramatic extreme in order to provoke public fear through emotionally energized disinformation. Leftists have been fantasizing publicly about murdering Trump for some time now. However, these “theories” on how Biden could respond to the Supreme Court are not simple hypotheticals for the sake of argument, there is an element of desperation and bloodlust.

https://www.americanpartisan.org/2024/07/democrats-hint-at-assassination-in-response-to-supreme-court-immunity-decision/

The howls from the left were loud and shrill overnight across social media. The critical matter is that such howling for assassination tends to trigger actions by leftists to go out and do the deed - since their base values (conservatives don’t deserve to live) are validated by these leftists leaders and influencers .

I’ve said this many times, as the desperation level rises in the left, the chances for the unthinkable rise exponentially. Such an assassination attempt could likely pull the restraint totally away from elements on the right.

***
Next week DC is hosting the 2024 NATO Summit - expect levels of protests to increase accordingly .


Terrorism - Heightened THREAT as of May 6, 2024

A startling new report has revealed that an ISIS-affiliated smuggling network was able to slip over 400 individuals through the U.S. southern border on the Biden administration’s watch, with the location of more than 50 of them currently unknown. Experts say the administration’s open border policies are vastly increasing the likelihood of a major terrorist attack occurring on U.S. soil.

Three U.S. officials told NBC News that 150 of the individuals have been arrested, and Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) is currently attempting to locate the remaining persons. During an appearance on MSNBC on Wednesday, Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas stated that “we have no evidence that they are individuals plotting to harm the United States. ... It’s very important to note that the safety and security of the American people is our highest priority. We screen and vet individuals at the time of encounter. If we learn of derogatory information, we take enforcement action.”

https://www.prophecynewswatch.com/article.cfm?recent_news_id=7049#google_vignette

OBSERVATION - This is a continuation of the warnings from last week. White washing the incident by Mayorkas. The simple fact that they smuggled here by ISIS - who doesn’t do charity work - is fact enough that the ultimate intent was to cause harm to the country.


Economy- MODERATE Threat - as of June 26, 2024

From the Louisiana Office of the Attorney General Liz Murrill
On Monday, July 1, U.S. Federal Judge James Cain Jr. of the Western District of Louisiana, issued a preliminary injunction in Louisiana’s favor for the State’s lawsuit against President Joe Biden and the United States Department of Energy over the unlawful decisions to ban new liquefied natural gas exports to non-free trade agreement countries.

Judge Cain’s order lifts the LNG export ban effective immediately.
In his ruling, Judge Cain said, “It appears that the DOE’s decision to halt the permit approval process for entities to export LNG to non-FTA countries is completely without reason or logic and is perhaps the epiphany of ideocracy.”
Judge Cain also asked attorneys for the federal government, “So why the change of the past normal practice? And why now?”

The decision by President Biden and his Department of Energy from back in January ignores the clear text of the Natural Gas Act and departs from decades of agency policy. Just six months ago, the Department of Energy even acknowledged, “There is no factual or legal basis” for halting approval of LNG exports.

Shortly after that announcement, Louisiana Attorney General Liz Murrill led a coalition of 16 states in filing the lawsuit to stop the ban.
The State of Louisiana was joined by the States of Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, Florida, Georgia, Kansas, Mississippi, Montana, Nebraska, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Texas, Utah, West Virginia, and Wyoming.

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2024/07/01/federal-judge-sides-with-louisiana-and-strikes-down-joe-bidens-illegal-assault-on-american-energy/

OBSERVATION - I think this crashes against the recent USSC ruling permitting these kinds of laws for TX.


POLITICAL FRONT –

July 15 RNC convention in Milwaukee, WI
August 19 DNC convention in Chicago, IL

***
Donald Trump’s lawyers on Monday asked the New York judge who presided over his criminal trial to set aside his conviction and delay his sentencing, scheduled for next week.

The letter to Judge Juan M. Merchan cited the U.S. Supreme Court’s ruling earlier Monday and asked the judge to delay Trump’s sentencing while he weighs the high court’s decision and how it could influence the New York case, according to the letter obtained by The Associated Press.

The lawyers argue that the Supreme Court’s decision confirmed a position the defense raised earlier in the case that prosecutors should have been precluded from introducing some evidence they said constituted official presidential acts, according to the letter.

https://www.newsmax.com/politics/donald-trump-hush-money-supreme-court/2024/07/01/id/1170896/

OBSERVATION - The lawfare renewed since the USSC decisions. Merchan is the democrat’s great white hope for getting trump jailed before the elections (and convention). The question is is he willing to risk it all considering that the recent rulings and overall abuse of the justice system he’s done will come crashing down on him if he responds in a political manner.

***
Major Democrat donors are beginning to turn on Joe Biden‘s 2024 re-election campaign after the 81-year-old incumbent appeared cognitively impaired during last Thursday’s presidential debate with former President Donald J. Trump. Concerned that Biden will be unable to hold on to the White House, some donors are asking the campaign to refund their contributions so they can redirect the money to down-ballot races.


Biden / Harris Watch –

Team biden working fast to quell the rebellion in the party following the debate. Now Bloomberg reports that the Democratic National Committee is considering formally nominating Joe Biden as early as mid-July to ensure that the president is on November ballots, while helping to stamp out intra-party chatter of replacing him after last week’s poor debate performance.

Democrats had already planned to nominate Biden, 81, before the convention in order to ensure he appears on the ballot in Ohio, which had an Aug. 7 deadline for candidates to be certified.

A potential date for Biden’s nomination is July 21, when the Democratic convention’s credentials committee meets virtually, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke on condition of anonymity.

https://www.zerohedge.com/political/bidens-family-urges-him-fight-blames-debate-disaster-advisors-and-cnn

***
An orange faced biden gave a mumbling 5 minute address to the nation regarding the USSC decision on immunity. In it he attacked the USSC and its recent decisions. Quoting Sotomayor’s dissent he said “...with fear for our democracy, I dissent”, to which he added “so should the American people dissent, I dissent.”
Biden also read the “end of quote” prompt on the teleprompter again.

***


Illegal Immigration –

A law enabling Oklahoma officials to order illegal immigrants to leave the state was blocked on June 28 by a federal judge, who said the statute is likely unconstitutional.

Oklahoma House Bill 4156, signed into law in April by Gov. Kevin Stitt, allows state charges to be brought against illegal immigrants who are found in Oklahoma. It also requires those convicted to leave the state within 72 hours.

U.S. officials sued over the law before it took effect on July 1, arguing that it violated the U.S. Constitution by adopting a state-based immigration system that clashes with the federal system.

https://www.theepochtimes.com/us/federal-judge-blocks-oklahoma-law-that-bars-illegal-immigrants-5678216?utm_source=partner&utm_campaign=BonginoReport&src_src=partner&src_cmp=BonginoReport

***
Good news from the border. Well, kinda. According to FNC’s Bill Melugin, both Republicans and Democrats can claim positive talking points.

Melugin’s CBP sources say that in the month of June, 87,670 illegal aliens were apprehended at the southern border. That is the lowest number in over three years. Previously, the lowest number was 75,316 in January 2021.

It’s important to note that these numbers do not include the roughly 60,900 migrants encountered at ports of entry in June. That is mostly due to the use of the CBP One app. Most all of them were released into the United States.
This number also does not include up to 30,000 illegal aliens per month paroled into the United States via the controversial Biden mass parole program, CHNV. The Biden administration flies them directly into the U.S.
The Biden administration admits about 70,000 to 80,000 migrants into the United States every single month through both programs. The programs allow migrants to come into the U.S. lawfully with 2-year humanitarian parole grants. This prevents them from crossing the border illegally. Smoke and mirrors, my friends, smoke and mirrors.

https://hotair.com/karen-townsend/2024/07/02/good-news-illegal-border-crossings-down-bad-news-71m-visas-granted-without-interviews-n3791266


Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures continue in the 80s to upper 90s and fair.

24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Ukraine launched more drone attacks with some hitting the Kursk area, reportedly near military unit and military warehouses, resulting in a big fire.

Russia forces continue to press the Pivdenne region, south of Chasiv Yar.

Outlook —

Very little change in current situation. Russia continues to take large losses with very little to show for it.

I am getting the impression that Ukraine will be making another move to take out the Kersch Bridge soon, given the amount of targeting of ADA sites in Crimea.


Belarus -

Still a lot of rumblings of Ukraine build up on the Belarus border.


ISRAEL –

Key overnight developments -

- IDF orders evacuation of Khan Younis.

- US and other countries continue to warn citizens to leave Lebanon.

——— GENERAL ——————————-

Lest we forget - there are still hostages being held in Gaza.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said on Monday that the Israel Defense Forces is on the verge of destroying Hamas’ terror army, a key goal of the nearly nine-month-old war.

“I returned yesterday from a visit to the Gaza Division. I saw very considerable achievements in the fighting being carried [out] in Rafah. We are advancing to the end of the stage of eliminating the Hamas terrorist army; we will continue striking its remnants,” said Netanyahu during a meeting with Israel National Defense College cadets.

“I was very impressed by the achievements above ground and below ground, and by the commanders’ fighting spirit. With this spirit we will achieve our objectives: Returning our hostages, eliminating Hamas’s military and governing capabilities, ensuring that Gaza will not constitute a threat and also returning our residents securely to their homes in both the south and the north,” added the premier.

https://www.newsmax.com/world/globaltalk/benjamin-netanyahu-idf-hamas/2024/07/02/id/1170916/

——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-

The Israeli army ordered a mass evacuation of Palestinians from much of Khan Younis on Monday, a sign that troops are likely to launch a new ground assault in the Gaza Strip’s second largest city.

The order suggested that Khan Younis will be the latest target of Israel’s raids into parts of Gaza it had previously invaded in the war, as it pursues regrouping Hamas militants. Much of Khan Younis was destroyed in a long assault earlier this year, but large numbers of Palestinians have moved back in to escape another Israeli offensive in Gaza’s southernmost city, Rafah.

The Israeli military says the 99th Division destroyed a kilometer-long tunnel, killed approximately 100 militants and killed and more than 100 terrorist structures in the central Gaza Strip

Included was the destruction of a large bunker/tunnel complex used by PIJ to construct rockets.

——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-

Lufthansa Group has halted nighttime flights to and from Beirut from June 29 up to and including July 31 due to the “current developments” in the Middle East, a spokesperson said on Monday. (Reuters)

US Embassy in Beirut has issued a new travel advisory warning American citizens to stay away from Lebanon. “We remind US citizens to strongly reconsider travel to Lebanon,” said the fresh notice which follows prior similar alerts. It warned in particular about travel to the south of Lebanon and in border areas with Syria, and to also avoid refugee settlements.

In the event of a “sudden outbreaks of violence and armed conflict” the Lebanese government nor the US Embassy can ensure US citizens’ safety, the notice warned further. Some European countries have issued similar alerts, with the Netherlands and Germany being the latest to warn their nationals to evacuate the country.

But the Pentagon clearly believes a big escalation is imminent, and has moved assets off the coast in preparation for a potential emergency evacuation of Americans in the event of all-out war:
The Pentagon is moving U.S. military assets closer to Israel and Lebanon to be ready to evacuate Americans as fighting between Israel and Hezbollah intensifies, according to three U.S. defense officials and a former U.S. official familiar with the plans.

The USS Wasp, an amphibious assault ship, and Marines from the 24th Expeditionary Unit, which is special operations capable, moved into the Mediterranean on Wednesday to join the dock landing ship USS Oak Hill and another ship in their amphibious ready group, according to the Marine Corps. The Wasp will operate in the eastern Mediterranean to be ready for a Military Assisted Departure and other missions, the officials said.

https://www.americanpartisan.org/2024/07/us-readies-to-evacuate-americans-from-lebanon-if-war-erupts-marines-en-route/

———WEST BANK——————————-

Police stormed downtown Jericho.

———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-

A senior Egyptian official on Monday denied reports in the media on an Egyptian agreement to move the Rafah crossing from its current location or to build a new crossing near Kerem Shalom.

The official stressed that Egypt is not discussing the possibility of Israel supervising the Rafah crossing, and it is still adhering to its position that the IDF must withdraw fully from the Palestinian Arab side of the Rafah crossing.
Since the seizure of the Rafah crossing, Egypt has expressed opposition to opening the crossing as long as the IDF troops control it, and has placed full responsibility on Israel for the worsening of the humanitarian situation in the Gaza Strip due to the closure of the crossing.

Egypt claims that it continues to work to alleviate the humanitarian crisis in the Gaza Strip, but refuses to allow many trucks located on the Egyptian side of the Rafah crossing to enter the Gaza Strip as long as the IDF controls the Rafah crossing.

https://www.israelnationalnews.com/news/392406

——— FORECAST ————————-

Israel is cycling into another move of Khan Younis and surrounding. Again, this is a tactic they ‘ve been using - create a pocket to allow Hamas et al to try to reform, then collapse that pocket. In doing so they eliminate a lot of terrorists as well as expose underground tunnels that they may have missed on the previous passes.

Indicators continue to point to Israel acting against Hezbollah as early as August. There is an outside chance that Hezbollah may attempt to launch a spoiling attack before then to disrupt Israeli buildup and operation plans.


Misc of Note –

Hurricane Beryl has reached Cat 5 levels - the earliest to do so on record. There is a very, very slight chance it could deflect north along the mexican coast line to the US, but chances are slim it will follow that path.


617 posted on 07/02/2024 8:00:10 AM PDT by Godzilla (“When tyranny becomes law, rebellion becomes duty” - Thomas Jefferson)
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