Clinton, Obama and Biden also lost House seats during first term mid-terms. That is a common occurrence.
“Clinton, Obama and Biden also lost House seats during first term mid-terms. That is a common occurrence”.
That is true. And those losses in 1994 and 2010 were monumental blowouts that changed the trajectory of Congress. That should have happened in 2022, but it didn’t. Biden actually gained a seat in the Senate and suffered only minimal losses in the House, such that Kevin McCarthy has only a razor thin majority.
Trump has shown the ability to pull poorly qualified candidates across the finish line in a GOP primary, only to see them lose in the general election over and over again.
Glenn Youngkin showed the blueprint for flipping a blue state to red. Combine the Trump supporters with other moderates and independents and leave Democrats reeling. The Trump loyalists alone are not enough to prevail in the key swing states in 2024 (PA, MI,WI,AZ, NV,GA).
Trump carried Florida by 3%. DeSantis carried it by 19%. That strongly suggests one of them is able to effectively replicate what Youngkin did in Virginia.
I fully expect to castigated now on FR for issuing this common sense observation.