Previous day’s thread: https://freerepublic.com/focus/bloggers/4159835/posts
Calling someone a RuZZian on FR is considered an insult.
If any one is holding any NATO stock, may I suggest you place sell orders in the market as soon as the exchange opens this Monday. This is not a position to hold. Thank you and carry on.
Why no interest in Ukrainian equipment losses?
Yakymivka near Melitopol. SOF UA or guerrillas blew up a railway bridge on the only line going to the Crimea.
Ukraine: military situation update with maps - June 10, 2023
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine Explained/Reporting from Ukraine:
https://www.youtube.com/@RFU
Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).
(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
••Denotes Transcribed Dialogue. The entirety of the analysis is from a Ukrainian guy named Reporting from Ukraine’s daily video - I only transcribe it. Extras are just that - from other sites, or my comments marked (Edit: .... ) or { } or [ ].
——> Current to date and past MAPS: <——
https://militaryland.net/
——> Daily Battle Maps by Date and Region, Showing Troop Dispositions and Movements: <——
https://deepstatemap.live/
==
——> The True State of Russian Army, The 2nd Best Army in Ukraine <——
posted 2 months ago, 21.13 min
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0KiII_2qabk
The Russian military, the second largest military in the world, may not be what it looks like. Lies and systematic corruptions may in fact have dragged Russia into this war with Ukraine, which has been heavily backed up by the US and NATO. We will present the evidence, you make your own decision, because the Russian Army, is not what you think.
==
——> Understanding Combined Arms Warfare <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-ZOGdKANL5s
Designed to support the U.S. Army Captains Career Course, “Understanding Combined Arms Warfare” defines and outlines the important aspects of modern combined arms operations. This is not a complete history of combined arms warfare. It is intended to highlight the most important aspects of the subject.
The beginning of the documentary establishes a common understanding of combined arms warfare by discussing doctrinal and equipment developments in World War I. The second part compares the development of French and German Army mechanization during the interwar period and describes how each country fared during the Battle of France in 1940. The film concludes by showing how the United States applied combined arms operations in the European Theater in World War II.
==
——> Combined Arms Breach, 1990 <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZZ-sCT_maAQ
What UA will have to master to smash Orc Lines. This visualization was developed for the Maneuver Center of Excellence and is closely based upon the National Training Center Breach and Assault exercise executed circa 1990. This visualization demonstrates viable Techniques, and Procedures as discussed in Army Tactics, Techniques, and Procedures March 3, 1990 for the conduct of the combined arms breach against a hypothetical enemy.
==
——> How Many of Each Type of Tank Does Russia Have In Storage? <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2PHUK6zkbpc
Type Good 2023
T-54/55 270
T-62 560
T-64 248
T-72 1841
T-80 942
T-90 50
~3,911 operational tanks in storage as of ~04/07/2023 | Ball park tank number.
==
——> Contrast & Compare: the T-14 Armada [The AliExpress Tank]: The Best Russian Tank Ever! [very funny] <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-opSlCGLGQ4
[ Russian Retreat En Masse | Footage: Russians Run For Their Lives. Defense Collapses! | Their Distance Was Futile ]
••Day 472: Jun 10
Today there is a lot of news from the Velyka Novosilka direction.
Here, after a short regrouping, Ukrainians ramped up the intensity of their attacks in order to leverage newly captured positions and generate new gains. One of the main axes of advance became the hills west of the river.
If we look at the topographic map, we can see that Ukrainians gained a foothold right above the settlements, and as I told you last time, even if Russian claims were true and they indeed recaptured the settlements, they would not stay there for long due to the overwhelming fire from the hills. And this is exactly what happened.
Today Russian sources confirmed that they decided to retreat from Neskuchne to more reliable positions. Ukrainian sources also posted drone footage that confirms that Russians abandoned their positions around Storozheve as well.
Some non-mainstream Russian sources claimed that the front line collapsed under the pressure of the second wave of Ukrainian attacks all the way to Makarivka.
But this is just the beginning because Ukrainians also launched a massive attack from Zolota Nyva. Russian sources reported that, at first, Ukrainians launched a small attack on Novodonetske to fix Russians forces and protect the flanks while almost immediately launching a powerful attack towards Urozhaine.
Even the most prominent Russian sources confirm that Ukrainians very quickly cleared the tree lines, and the fighting is taking place right in front of the settlement.
As you can quickly notice, this attack completely cut off Russian forces in Blahodatne, and Russian sources confirmed that Russian forces retreated to avoid being taken into a pocket, which means that Ukrainians secured Blahodatne without a single shot being fired.
There are also at least 3 more lines of attack along the western section of the front line, namely toward Rivnopil, Novodarivka, and Levadne.
The freshest reports indicate that Ukrainians secured new tree lines in front of the settlements, however, the assault units are reportedly small, so for now, these are just supporting attacks.
Overall, in 1 week of storming operations around Veluka Novosilka, Ukrainians managed to liberate around 95 sq km of the ground.
When it comes to the Kherson region, in the aftermath of the destruction of the Kakhovska Hydroelectric Power Plant dam, 600 sq. km of the ground appeared under water. This means that the topography of the region has completely changed.
90% of Oleshly and Hola Prystan, which are the main Russian strongholds where they were hiding most of their equipment, were submerged under the water.
The flooding has also destroyed many Russian first-line field fortifications that the Russian military intended to use to defend against Ukrainian attacks. Rapid flooding has forced Russian personnel to evacuate as fast as possible.
Recently released footage shows how Russians are using boats from the local tourist center. Unfortunately for Russians, there were only blue and yellow boats left.
Recent footage also shows that Russians had to use their transport helicopters to evacuate from the Kinburn Spit because the flooding had reportedly cut off the main supply roads.
Ukrainian Southern Operational Command Spokesperson Nataliya Humenyuk stated that in some places, Russian forces had to roll back by up to 15 km.
Local residents also showed what happened above the dam. As the reservoir has been gradually emptied, the river width has shrunk by multiple kilometers. In fact, if we look at the satellite footage, we can see that vast areas have turned into land.
If we increase the contrast of the image, we can also see how narrow is main river path. This means that if the water levels continue to recede, Ukrainians will be able to establish a pontoon bridge and conduct a mechanized assault on a completely naked and unfortified part of the front line.
••Breaking through the first line defense means the UA strategy was good in general. Break throughs happened at Lobhove, near Huliaipole and Neskuchne.
==
Russia claims it has thousands of FPV drones from China’s iFlight company - but in the video they used a green screen to show the drones.
FVP drones are more reliable than the standard DJI drones because they re less vulnerable to counter measures. Because the user is ‘in’ the drone, it makes them very accurate and able to hit specific parts. Video was all fake.
==
Germans confirm the RST system was damaged, but it is still operational.
==
Bakhmut:
Russian sources say their troops are leaving the Yahidne village. A very important as once taken it half encircles the city in the north.
==
Russians are using sidecar motorcycles. But they were droned and their season is over.
Denys gave his motorcycle to the UA where its working for a drone unit.
==
The UK said it only took the UA 48 hours to break the Russians first line of defense.
==
CNN said the main offensive has not yet begun; Denys agrees - as most of the Western Equipment has not yet been brought to bear. [ As of this video. ]
==
Hungry’s Orbon negotiated with Putin that Hungarians fighting in Ukraine will hold a press conference and verbally attack Ukraine and praise Russian Orthodox Church.
••The Russian Federation has built a powerful line of defense in a three-line system with different levels of fortifications - The Telegraph.
Carefully constructed ditches stretch for many kilometers, and British intelligence described the fortifications of the Russian Federation as “one of the most extensive systems of military defenses that have ever been seen anywhere in the world.”
The Russians had a year to prepare for the counteroffensive, so it should be understood that our heroes are making incredible efforts to break through their defenses. The counteroffensive will not be easy, but we are ready and confident of victor
Map
https://t.me/pilotblog/4608?single
==
Kherson Weather:
Armed Forces of Ukraine cannot go on a counteroffensive because of the rain - The Telegraph. Heavy rain turned the land of southern Ukraine into mud and slowed down the Ukrainian counteroffensive.
The Leopard tanks that Ukraine has placed at the forefront of the offensive are forced to fight in a large swamp, which makes it difficult for our troops.
[ Rain: Monday Tuesday Wednesday. Scattered / isolated thunderstorms: Next Monday - Thursday. ]
==
Video of the channel that was used to supply 75% of the water to Crimea. [ Now just a mud flat with isolated pools of still water ]
==
Finally we payed back! Video of the ambushed column of Russian military equipment on the march. With the detonation of ammunition (in the second video).
The place is geolocated - this is the road next to the settlement. Zapovitnoe, Zaporozhye region, far enough from the front. Most likely, the cover was from somewhere in Nikopol or Marganets from the opposite bank of the reservoir (which has almost dried up as a result of the Russian undermining of the dam).
==
Putin wants to take PMC Wagner troops from Prigozhin The conflict is gaining momentum, now, before July 1, all volunteer units must sign a contract with the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation - this also applies to Wagner PMC. What it does is the complete transition of the Wagnerites to the RF Ministry of Defense.
Prygozhyn reacted to the order from Russian defence ministry. He stated that the Wagnerites would not be subordinate to the RF Ministry of Defense.
“Those orders and decrees that Shoigu forms, they apply to employees of the Ministry of Defense and military personnel. PMC “Wagner” will not sign any contracts with Shoigu.
“PMC “Wagner” is organically built into the overall system, PMC “Wagner” coordinates its actions with the generals on the right, left, with unit commanders.
“What can happen after this order - we will not be given weapons and ammunition - we will figure it out, as they say, when the thunder strikes, they will come running and bring everything”, said the leader of the mercenaries.
Girkin called Prigozhin’s actions a “military mutiny”.
==
Ukrainian Armed Forces liberated Blagodatne, Donetsk region The operation was attended by the soldiers of the 68th separate brigade.
==
The Dam:
Map of possible flood area:
https://t.me/pilotblog/4470
Image of new Leopard 2 tanks in Ukraine
https://t.me/pilotblog/4487
==
Russian officials said everything is going according to the Plan.
Update on Ukrainian Conflict for June 10, 2023:
- Ukraine’s long-awaited offensive has begun, including all types of NATO-provided armor and weapons;
- Visual evidence is emerging of burning Leopard 2 tanks, US Bradley fighting vehicles, and other equipment as Ukraine struggles to punch through Russia’s security zone and reach its first defensive lines;
- Both Western and Russian sources are reporting heavy Ukrainian losses;
- Since Ukraine’s fall offensives last year, Russia has mobilized 300,000 additional troops and established multiple layers of defenses;
- Regardless of Ukraine’s performance, NATO does not have the ability to supply Ukraine with the equipment and ammunition to sustain operations for any length of time or to hold gained territory against a Russian counter-offensive;
Follow Alex and Alexander of The Duran for daily updates regarding Ukraine:
This is where I saw the line about the Russian retreat turning into the “Crimea 500” road race (Good line):
david D. @secretsqrl123 17h
“just got off the phone and computer with 2 trusted former intel people. some of the take aways we got that we can openly talk about (that is known) is that as predicted Ukraine is not pushing for a single deep thrust as much as a thrust along the entire line.
We are tracking 3-4 thrusts with more probably coming. this will force ru to use up or shift forces to block all the thrusts. With Ukraine probably to launch more than 25 major thrusts in the next few days. this will force ru to block every one or they may have a breakthrough.
Every time ru blocks a thrust they have to bring reserve forces out of hiding, or from the deep rear and bring them in rang of ukr 155mm guns or himars. once the reserve forces are used and no more mobile blocking forces are left then the real fun should start.
Also the russians will have to use every bit of their artillery. This means that ru and ukr artillery will be going after each other in the open... and ru guns that are shot out, with less accuracy, less range, and less mobility will probably pay a heavy price.
Ukr STILL has the ability for at least 2 brigade sized water crossings, and a brigade sized air assault with about 100 helos with supporting deep artillery to tie down more units.
it looks overall like ru troops (from reports and vid) are starting to break and run. without artillery or armor support facing ukr troops that want payback I can’t see russian troops standing their ground. Once panic starts its going to be the Crimea 500 IMO.
And yes there will be ukr losses, but ukr will be able to save most of its troops, reform and refight. while russian troops are far more likely to not survive in older soviet vehicles.
Again nothing opsec related. Have faith, it looks like there is a plan. and from reports its working... the russians can only keep showing the bradley pile so long... sooner or later they will run out of... everything.
@visegrad24 56m
BREAKING: The Russian Army has blown up a dam on the Mokri Yaly River (near Klyuchove, alongside the T-05-18 road running South toward Mariupol from recently liberated Blahodatne) in an attempt to stop the accelerating Ukrainian counteroffensive in the area.
Get it?
@visegrad24 2h
BREAKING:
Russian defensive lines
BREAKING: The Ukrainian Army has taken Storozheve. The Russians are on the run.
@visegrad24 3h BREAKING: The Ukrainian Army has taken Makarivka (South of Storozheve, West of the T-05-18 road toward Mariupol). Incoming reports stating that the Ukrainians have thrown in massive reinforcements in that area. Things are moving really fast in Zaporizhzhia right now.
ROFL - 17 in a row. how pathetic.
Day 8 of this super duper uber counter offensive and the ukes haven’t even been able to get to the Rus first defensive line which was expected on DAY 1...butthanks to the intel links we already knew “limited effectiveness” was to be expected.
.
guess you’ve already seen the comedy parade of Bradley’s driving around in circles with artillery shells landing around them in the area now affectionately known as Bradley Square.
here’s one for ya. It’s slo mo of a Leopard
https://twitter.com/MyLordBebo/status/1667503591706226688
@Maks_NAFO_FELLA 5h
The Russian Ministry of Defense claims that their fleet was attacked at night.
300 km from Sevastopol, the (Intelligence) ship “Priazovya” met with drones.
6 seals (Unmanned Surface Vessel drones) attacked the ship and it allegedly fought them off....
I am fascinated by some of the news reports and pundit commentary who insist that a Ukrainian failure means that a long, stalemated war is the likely outcome. That opinion is so stupid and so divorced from reality that it beggars the mind in trying to come up with an explanation for such nonsense. Ukraine is running out of critical weapons, such as artillery, tanks, and fixed wing aircraft — and these losses are accelerating — and Kiev has no good prospects for replacing them. Ukraine also is running out of trained manpower. How does one continue to pursue a stagnant war when the very things you require to conduct and sustain such a war are in short supply and becoming more scarce?
The Ukrainian offensive is entering its eighth day and the only things Zelensky and his generals have to show for the effort are piles of bodies and smoldering tanks and armored personnel carriers.
"BAKHMUT AXIS /1745 UTC 11 JUN/ Sources report that UKR forces have advanced S toward Soledar, penetrating RU lines by as much as 2000 meters. The same sources report UKR advances on a widening front between Vasiukivka & Orikhovo-Vasylivka."
@ChuckPfarrer 2h
"VELYKA NOVOSILKA /2110 UTC 11 JUN/ During the day of 11 JUN, sources report that UKR forces have staged advances in the Velyka Novosilka area of operations. The villages of Storozhove, Blahdonte, Makarivka, Starornnaiorske are reported to have been liberated."
(During the day of 11 JUN - but night has fallen, and Ukrainian forces own the night)
@visegrad24 1h
Zelensky had a long call with Polish President Andrzej Duda tonight.
President Duda is traveling to Paris tomorrow to meet with Scholz and Macron.
Poland will press for more military aid to be sent to Ukraine in connection with the ongoing counteroffensive.
@visegrad24 40m
BREAKING: The Russian Black Sea Fleet has launched Kalibr cruise missiles toward Ukraine.
International Criminal Court starts investigation into destroyed Nova Kakhovka dam
President Volodymyr Zelensky said on June 11 that the International Criminal Court had already launched an investigation following Russia’s destruction of the Kakhovka dam in Kherson Oblast on June 6.
According to the president, court representatives have already visited Kherson Oblast and saw “with their own eyes the consequences of this Russian terrorist attack and heard for themselves that Russian terror continues.”
“The most cynical and brutal shelling of the flooded territory continues,” Zelensky said.
Zelensky added that the Ukrainian side is contributing as much as possible to the investigation.
“All our law enforcement officers and other institutions are greatly involved in this process,” Zelensky said. “We provide full access to the affected areas, to witnesses, to all information and evidence. This investigation is very important for the security of the whole world.”
Matti Maasikas, European Union’s ambassador to Ukraine, said in an interview with the Freedom TV channel on June 11 that many high-ranking politicians, such as the President of the European Council Charles Michel, and EU’s chief diplomat Josep Borrell have absolutely clearly stated that “it can only be Russia.”
The Kyiv Independent. @KyivIndependent 1h
“The 13th meeting of the Ukraine Defense Contact Group, also known as the Ramstein summit, will take place on June 15 in Brussels, followed by the NATO Defense Ministers Meeting on June 16.”
(More ammo,Air Defense, and fighter jets are on the menu)
Russia has no conference to go to, and no donor nations to support it - because it is so clearly an aggressor, and has committed such horrible atrocious war crimes. Nicaragua and Syria will vote for Russia in the UN, while Russia is paying them, but North Korea abstains (apparently, not wanting to tarnish its reputation, by associating with such a pariah).
